FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
A Lions loss wipes out a good number of the single owned players.
Circa Survivor - Thanksgiving Weekend
- Thread starter dogball
- Start date
Well, went under with 1 no pick, but unsurprisingly, someone did blow nearly 25K in implied value cruising on autopilot into the holiday (and a Happy Thanksgiving to one and all), and/or not reading the rules, and/or etc., etc.
Ray Luca
EOG Master
Lions shoulda lost last week
Woodrow Wilson
EOG Dedicated
This person probably will run the table consecutive years.
He should be crowned the new FEZ contest king is it happens.
railbird
EOG Master
fez beat micro fields of less than 200 people, like doyle brunson winning braclets of less than 30 people fields.
pro analyser
EOG Dedicated
-25,000x!0=$250,000 down the drain,happy thanksgiving not.
Woodrow Wilson
EOG Dedicated
Woodrow Wilson
EOG Dedicated
Really stupid if he didn't hedge with some GB today, but he has been rolling like that most of the season.
It was bound to catch up to him.
FairWarning
Bells Beer Connoisseur
For sure. The 5 Jets and lone Seattle picks are probably hedges.
There's a Fezzic-2 in second place in Circa (5274 entries) and a FezzikC (using A, B C rather than 1, 2, 3 for the multiple entries) tied for 19th in the SuperContest Classic (1301 entries).
In my sheltered world in season (no sports betting radio, mostly keeping to myself and my own process, FWthat'sW, etc. . . . but I do monitor/track the competition in the contests) I haven't heard definitively whether that's Steve.
Hard to imagine that the books would let anyone register with the same or a confusingly substantially similar alias, especially for a well known figure. Even with a "c" in place of the "k."
Has anyone heard anything reliable on whether that's Fezzik currently having a good run?
Woodrow Wilson
EOG Dedicated
Not really a well-known figure, but I noticed this today in Circa's Survivor...
Bag of Picks-1 2. LIONS PK
BagofPicks-1 7. DOLPHINS PK
BagofPicks-5 7. DOLPHINS PK
mrbowling300
EOG Dedicated
That is THE Fezzik in 2nd place in Circa Millions
railbird
EOG Master
vikes
misery loves company.
IWishIWasAPro
EOG Master
What a post.
Ray Luca
EOG Master
I'm between Vikes or Tennessee
amazing pre and post. bravo.
question on the bolded part. this would come into play if you had at least 3 entries left, yes?
on one you take SF.
on another you take Miami
then on the third you take the Packers right?
you were not suggesting to take the Packers if you had only 1 or 2 entries left, correct?
yes, it certainly was, but i had a follow up question for Crazy Pete which i supplied above.
Sportsrmylife
EOG Master
A good point was brought up that maybe the 1 no pick didn't have any teams to use this week
cheapseats
EOG Master
Cash starting to get serious!
Ah, but the Week 12a "No Pick" was "CBEPFD-1" who had the Lions available as well as the Packers, Jets, and Commanders.
However, 16 others had used all the 4 favorites and 314 had used 3 (all but one) of the favorites. No one had all 4 favorites available.
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
I was wondering who did not pick.
Hate to speak for others but I think we can be very sure had he submitted his pick: Lions............would have been it.
So odds are he would have been eliminated this week, anyway.
LOL . . . as the fate of Western civilization hangs in the balance . . . the Survivor rules have a specific definition for "week":
"There will be up to 20 selections made by each entry for this Contest. For Contest purposes, Thanksgiving Day + Black Friday (November 23 & 24, 2023) and Christmas Day (December 25, 2023) will be its own independent “Contest Week”. The other 18 “Contest Weeks” will otherwise correspond with the NFL regular season schedule."
So you're basically trying now to extend your original reference to "this week" to what are two separate weeks under the contest rules.
Over and above the point that you apparently were suggesting that people unfamiliar with the rules (specifically the Thanksgiving week rule) and/or caught up with the hustle and bustle of the holiday short week, etc. would fail to put in selections for the special Thanksgiving week.
Again, with the fate of the west hanging in the balance, lol.
Crazy Pete
EOG Addicted
No, I did not assume you had three entries left. If you do have three entries left, yours is a good idea.
Basically, my point was that if you have four longshots that were in the same range, might as well take the long shot that eliminates by far more than anyone else.
Why did I say to take Green Bay if you had the 49ers or Miami available?
I’m trying to recall my logic, but I cannot do it. It would make sense if GB would’ve eliminated 80% of the competition, or if the money line was close to even, but it’s not.
I strongly stand behind the first paragraph-the Packers were by far the best choice if you have to pick between for long shots.
I added that last paragraph quickly at the end, but I cannot defend it now
.1st paragraph was sharp.
Second paragraph was Crazy
you are quite sharp either wayNo, I did not assume you had three entries left. If you do have three entries left, yours is a good idea.
Basically, my point was that if you have four longshots that were in the same range, might as well take the long shot that eliminates by far more than anyone else.
Why did I say to take Green Bay if you had the 49ers or Miami available?
I’m trying to recall my logic, but I cannot do it. It would make sense if GB would’ve eliminated 80% of the competition, or if the money line was close to even, but it’s not.
I strongly stand behind the first paragraph-the Packers were by far the best choice if you have to pick between for long shots.
I added that last paragraph quickly at the end, but I cannot defend it now
1st paragraph was sharp.
Second paragraph was Crazy
Closure finally, all 149 had picks in Week 12b. Only one "No Pick" in the Week 12 selections.
I mildly wondered with only 16 having just dogs to pick, why did 18 choose dogs (Packers 12, Jets 5, Seahawks 1)? Got a partial answer from twitter, one guy mis-clicked "Packers" instead of "Lions". See below:
Greg Jones
@LAJoneser
·
1h
Replying to @SurvivorAtlas and @Tonysmarkettips
Det was the only favorite I had on Thanksgiving so I took them. Thought I was dead until proxy called me this afternoon to get my pick. I miss clicked and took Green Bay by accident. Free Rolling now. Go Titans (along with a big bet on Carolina +4)
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
Turns out it did not matter - ZERO "No Picks" for the "week" this weekend
lol . . . mootness wins out
sorry for the dumb question but how are you finding the info that this contestant had the Lions, Packers, Jets and Commanders available?
are you going to the CIRCA website and pulling down that Godzilla PDF and looking all of this up manually ?
It could be done manually by comparing the selection PDF sheet to the availability PDF sheet and finding the missing selection. Once the missing selection is found , its easy to see which picks were available.
However, I used Adobe software to convert the PDF files to XLS (Excel) and then use Visual Basic routines and filters to derive some statistics as well as find the missing pick.
winkyduck
TYVM Morgan William!!!
I am certain Pauly Howard is either: IRONDOC OR BagofPicks.............I think he is Iron
railbird
EOG Master
probably a vaccinated liberal that is in the hospital