Re: Alonso vs. Vettel 2012 championship
Well something nutty has to happen for Alonso to win. Possibilities would be accident at start (chances slim even with Maldonado behind Vettel but if it's raining you never now), rain during the race with Alonso set up and making the right tire changes and Vettel not (less slim but not great), Vettel wrecking (still slim) and Vettel having a mechanical breakdown (you never fucking know).
It look like it's going to be showers and not really heavy rain so I'm liking Button who is smarter and more precise though not as quick as Hamilton. Good going McLaren having the best car as the season ends. I would think McLaren wants to have Button win more than Hamilton for the obvious reasons. Their assistance doesn't have to be obvious but they've done subtle shit in the past.
I don't know which of these to bet. Convince me of something else and I'll happily bet that. It's the final race of the season and this has the potential to be a completely boring or completely bizarre race and because of all the extra complications impossible to predict.
Winner of Brazilian Grand Prix
Button +370
Fastest Lap
Perez +2500
Senna +2500
Winning Car
McLaren -170
Score Points
Maldonado - Yes +140
Head-to-Head
Perez beats Kobayashi -160
Love the Maldonado to score points at +140
I don't think Sauber has the car setup here to compete for anything. So would save my money on Perez and maybe take bigger odds on Grosjean or Sennas team mate for that fast lap bet. Or even Massa +2000?
hate the McLaren winning car bet, and don't like those odds about Button. Although agree he is much better value than Lewis.
Vettel really is good in the wet, and although the cars outright speed is suspect this weekend, that's not really a bog issue if it's a fully wet race. I'm thinking +680 for him is good value.
He's just not one to play it safe from the start and if he gets in front somehow I suspect he can drive fast enough in the wet to stay there.
All this really depends on there being significant rain. If they can run on slicks for any big part of the race I like the McLarens a lot more.