The EOG Octagon (RAILBIRD v John Kelly)

Dell Dude

EOG Master
I think it will be 0-5. Have to avoid garbage time in Memphis.

517 chicago under 217 -110 bet dsi
514 Charolette under 230 -110 westgate
520 toronto under 228 -110 westgate

526 memphis under 214 -110 westgate
528 dallas under 219.5 -110 westgate
530 oklahoma city under 226.5 (EDIT) -110 westgate
 

Dell Dude

EOG Master
517 chicago under 217 -110 bet dsi
514 Charolette under 230 -110 westgate
520 toronto under 228 -110 westgate

526 memphis under 214 -110 westgate
528 dallas under 219.5 -110 westgate
530 oklahoma city under 226.5 (EDIT) -110 westgate
 
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ComptrBob

EOG Master
With all the Friday games counted, Rail has a 0.07% chance of winning outright and a 0.44% chance of tying and winning the tiebreaker.

The magic number for JK to cinch the contest is 2 1/2 (count of JK wins/ties and Birdie losses/ties). ML is around -19500
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
With all the Friday games counted, Rail has a 0.07% chance of winning outright and a 0.44% chance of tying and winning the tiebreaker.

The magic number for JK to cinch the contest is 2 1/2 (count of JK wins/ties and Birdie losses/ties). ML is around -19500

Note that the magic number is only exact for a limited number of pushes because of the winning percentage metric.

For instance, if JK finished with 4 pushes (counts as two magic #'s and now impossible with JK's 3 picks for today), he would be 14-12-4, and Rail ran the table with 12-0 to end 16-14-0, JK would win with the better win% (53.8% vs 53.3%) (W/(W+L)). Also if JK lost all 4 to go 14-16, and Rail went 8-0-4 to go 12-14-4. JK would also win (46.7% vs 46.2%)
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master

waco

EOG Dedicated
I just saw this! WTF!! RAIL WOULD HAVE HAD A BETTER CHANCE IF HE WOULD OF USED A DARTBOARD!!
 
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railbird

EOG Master
Note that the magic number is only exact for a limited number of pushes because of the winning percentage metric.

For instance, if JK finished with 4 pushes (counts as two magic #'s and now impossible with JK's 3 picks for today), he would be 14-12-4, and Rail ran the table with 12-0 to end 16-14-0, JK would win with the better win% (53.8% vs 53.3%) (W/(W+L)). Also if JK lost all 4 to go 14-16, and Rail went 8-0-4 to go 12-14-4. JK would also win (46.7% vs 46.2%)
I have better chance now with nodak ahead
 
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