THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM
- Thread starter Ned
- Start date
Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM
Stl with a nice comeback from being down 4-0. Fri, Apr 8: Stl W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 32.83u risked to win 8.00u.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 85-3, net +2.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2016 season.
This chase bet will win most years with an occasional big loss (from -20u to -40u), will probably produce a small profit over the next 5 to 10 years.
Stl with a nice comeback from being down 4-0. Fri, Apr 8: Stl W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 32.83u risked to win 8.00u.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 85-3, net +2.78u. This is the statistically significant result of the system up to the 2016 season.
This chase bet will win most years with an occasional big loss (from -20u to -40u), will probably produce a small profit over the next 5 to 10 years.
Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM
Summary of picks for the 2017 season chase. Using 2016 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. Using Ned's strategy of betting both sides of Clev/Tex series.
Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win $100.
Date Bet-Size ML Result
April 2: 127 ChiC -127 L, 147 SF -147 L
April 3: 96 Clev +104 W, 114 Tex -114 L, 105 Tor -105 L, 164 Bos -164 W, 370 LAD -370 W, 210 Was -210 W
April 4: 142 Tex +151 L, 327 Chic -144 W, 373 SF -151 W
April 5: 359 Tex -101 L, 193 Tor 106 L
April 6: 538 Tor -135 W
April 7: 1087 Tex -152 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 43.52u risked to win 8.00u. Texas went to the edge, losing 3 games before winning game 4.
Summary of picks for the 2017 season chase. Using 2016 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. Using Ned's strategy of betting both sides of Clev/Tex series.
Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win $100.
Date Bet-Size ML Result
April 2: 127 ChiC -127 L, 147 SF -147 L
April 3: 96 Clev +104 W, 114 Tex -114 L, 105 Tor -105 L, 164 Bos -164 W, 370 LAD -370 W, 210 Was -210 W
April 4: 142 Tex +151 L, 327 Chic -144 W, 373 SF -151 W
April 5: 359 Tex -101 L, 193 Tor 106 L
April 6: 538 Tor -135 W
April 7: 1087 Tex -152 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 43.52u risked to win 8.00u. Texas went to the edge, losing 3 games before winning game 4.
Re: THE 80-0 BASEBALL SYSTEM
Summary of picks for the 2018 season chase. Using 2017 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers. No requirement this year to bet both sides of any series.
Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
Date Bet-Size ML ResultLines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
March 29: 200 ChiC -200 W, 175 Clev -175 L, 300 LAD -300 L, 156 Hou -156 W, 165 Bos -165 L, 162 NYY -162 W, 105 Ari -105 W
March 30: 193 Was -193 W, 382 Bos -144 W, 660 LAD -165 L
March 31: 311 Clev W -113, 2067 LAD -195 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 48.75u risked to win 8.00u. LA Dodgers went to the 3rd game laying over 20 units to win a net 1u.
March 30: 193 Was -193 W, 382 Bos -144 W, 660 LAD -165 L
March 31: 311 Clev W -113, 2067 LAD -195 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 48.75u risked to win 8.00u. LA Dodgers went to the 3rd game laying over 20 units to win a net 1u.
Summary of picks for the 2019 season chase. Using 2018 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers from last year. No requirement this year to bet both sides of any series.
Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 28: 120 Milw -120 W, 150 LAD -150 W, 57 Atl +175 L, 140 Col -140 W, 124 Hou -124 W, 190 Bos -190 L, 128 Clev -128 L, 340 NYY -340 W
March 29: 421 Bos -145 W
March 30: 125 Atl +126 L, 258 Clev -113 W
March 31: 217 Atl +130 L
April 1: 499 Atl +100 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 27.67u risked to win 8.00u. Atlanta Braves went to the 4th game laying almost 5 units to win a net 1u.
Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 28: 120 Milw -120 W, 150 LAD -150 W, 57 Atl +175 L, 140 Col -140 W, 124 Hou -124 W, 190 Bos -190 L, 128 Clev -128 L, 340 NYY -340 W
March 29: 421 Bos -145 W
March 30: 125 Atl +126 L, 258 Clev -113 W
March 31: 217 Atl +130 L
April 1: 499 Atl +100 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 27.67u risked to win 8.00u. Atlanta Braves went to the 4th game laying almost 5 units to win a net 1u.
Late update: Summary of picks for the 2020 season chase. Using 2019 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers from 2019. No requirement this year to bet both sides of any series.
The COVID-19 pandemic delayed the season start until July 23, 2020. Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
Date Bet-Size Team ML Result
July 23: 330 LAD -330 W, 65 Was 155 L, 175 NYY -175 W
July 24: 180 StL -180 W, 63 Atl +160 L, -300 Hou -300 W, 113 Minn -113 W, 150 TB -150 L
July 25: 205 Atl -126 W, 82 Was 200 W, 380 TB -152 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 20.42u risked to win 8.00u. No team had to go to the 3rd game to win a net 1u.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 117-3, net +26.78u, (372.02u total risked since 2010). This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2020 season.
The COVID-19 pandemic delayed the season start until July 23, 2020. Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
Date Bet-Size Team ML Result
July 23: 330 LAD -330 W, 65 Was 155 L, 175 NYY -175 W
July 24: 180 StL -180 W, 63 Atl +160 L, -300 Hou -300 W, 113 Minn -113 W, 150 TB -150 L
July 25: 205 Atl -126 W, 82 Was 200 W, 380 TB -152 W
Chase is 8-0 this year. 20.42u risked to win 8.00u. No team had to go to the 3rd game to win a net 1u.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 117-3, net +26.78u, (372.02u total risked since 2010). This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2020 season.
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Summary of picks for the 2021 season chase. Using the 2020 playoff teams, ignoring the play-in game losers from 2020.
System (modified per creator "Ned") requires that we bet both sides of Game 1 of the Mia/TB and Hou/Oak series.
Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
Date Bet-Size Team ML Result
April 1: 71 Mia +140 L, 210 LAD -210 L, 86 Atl +116 L, 230 SD -230 W, 103 Hou -103 W, 107 Oak -107 L, 150 TB -150 W, 180 NYY -180 W
April 2: 194 Mia -113 L, 760 LAD -245 W, 240 Oak -116 L
April 3: 376 Mia -103 W, 207 Atl -111 L, 389 Oak 115 L
April 4: 444 Atl -113 L, 978 Oak -117 L
April 6: 761 Atl 110 L
Chase is 6-2 this year. Only year so far to lose 2 chases. Total of 54.85u risked to lose -26.12u. Both Oak (-17.14u) and Atl (-14.98u) lost four straight.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 123-5, net +0.66u (426.87u total risked since 2010), ROI = +0.15%.
This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2021 season.
System (modified per creator "Ned") requires that we bet both sides of Game 1 of the Mia/TB and Hou/Oak series.
Lines from CRIS. First round bets placed to win 1 unit.
Date Bet-Size Team ML Result
April 1: 71 Mia +140 L, 210 LAD -210 L, 86 Atl +116 L, 230 SD -230 W, 103 Hou -103 W, 107 Oak -107 L, 150 TB -150 W, 180 NYY -180 W
April 2: 194 Mia -113 L, 760 LAD -245 W, 240 Oak -116 L
April 3: 376 Mia -103 W, 207 Atl -111 L, 389 Oak 115 L
April 4: 444 Atl -113 L, 978 Oak -117 L
April 6: 761 Atl 110 L
Chase is 6-2 this year. Only year so far to lose 2 chases. Total of 54.85u risked to lose -26.12u. Both Oak (-17.14u) and Atl (-14.98u) lost four straight.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 123-5, net +0.66u (426.87u total risked since 2010), ROI = +0.15%.
This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2021 season.
ZzyzxRoad
EOG Dedicated
This should be perversely interesting. Please do.
Lines from CRIS. Bet amounts placed to net $100 at end of Martingale.
Date Bet-Size ML Result
April 7: 170 Milw -170 L, 180 Atl -180 L, 91 Hou +110 W, Bos +155 PPD
April 8: 65 Bos +155 L, 200 LAD -200 W, 484 Atl -173 W, 365 Milw -135 PPD, 142 SF -142 W, 173 TB -173 W, 135 CWS -135 L
April 9: 381 Milw -141 L, 329 CWS -140 W, 110 Bos +150 L
April 10: 878 Milw -135 W, 219 Bos +125 W
Final:
All teams have won (w/ # losses): Hou(0), TB(0), LAD(0), SF(0), Atl(1), CWS(1), Milw(2), Bos(2)
Amount Won: $800 (net)
Amount Lost: -$1275 (made up for in martingale bets)
Total amount risked: $3557
Date Bet-Size ML Result
April 7: 170 Milw -170 L, 180 Atl -180 L, 91 Hou +110 W, Bos +155 PPD
April 8: 65 Bos +155 L, 200 LAD -200 W, 484 Atl -173 W, 365 Milw -135 PPD, 142 SF -142 W, 173 TB -173 W, 135 CWS -135 L
April 9: 381 Milw -141 L, 329 CWS -140 W, 110 Bos +150 L
April 10: 878 Milw -135 W, 219 Bos +125 W
Final:
All teams have won (w/ # losses): Hou(0), TB(0), LAD(0), SF(0), Atl(1), CWS(1), Milw(2), Bos(2)
Amount Won: $800 (net)
Amount Lost: -$1275 (made up for in martingale bets)
Total amount risked: $3557
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Wade
EOG Master
Easy Money
2022 Chase was 8-0 this year. Total of 35.57u risked, winning 8.00u.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 131-5, net +16.66u (463.77u total risked since 2010), ROI = +3.59%.
This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2022 season.
All of the out-of-sample data put together: 131-5, net +16.66u (463.77u total risked since 2010), ROI = +3.59%.
This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2022 season.
so far so good
but
that one time where you bet and lose and then double up 3 times and likely lay odds too and your team loses four times in a row -
it would not be pretty..
What kind of a bankroll would you need to back this up and do this ?
then how many years would it take to recuperate when that one time tragedy occurs ?
even worse imagine if two tragedies happened in a short time frame ?
no thanks .
losing four baseball games in a row is not that unusual of a thing
but
that one time where you bet and lose and then double up 3 times and likely lay odds too and your team loses four times in a row -
it would not be pretty..
What kind of a bankroll would you need to back this up and do this ?
then how many years would it take to recuperate when that one time tragedy occurs ?
even worse imagine if two tragedies happened in a short time frame ?
no thanks .
losing four baseball games in a row is not that unusual of a thing
Early in this thread I posted how the "80-0 system" was backfit incorrectly and was potentially volatile. All the "system" Ned fans went boo-hoo. it seems solely based on the hope that last year's playoff teams will start strong. A questionable premise, but I've kept tracking the system out of curiosity.
Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178, 392 Hou -153, 133 Cle +145
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0)
Amount Won: $400
Amount Lost: -$522
Total amount risked: $800
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178, 392 Hou -153, 133 Cle +145
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0)
Amount Won: $400
Amount Lost: -$522
Total amount risked: $800
Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178 L, 392 Hou -153 W, 133 Cle +145 W
April 1: 1693 SDG -210 W, 224 Phi -122 L
April 2: 380 Phi +107
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0), Hou(1), Cle(1), SDG(2)
Amount Won: $700
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178 L, 392 Hou -153 W, 133 Cle +145 W
April 1: 1693 SDG -210 W, 224 Phi -122 L
April 2: 380 Phi +107
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0), Hou(1), Cle(1), SDG(2)
Amount Won: $700
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Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178 L, 392 Hou -153 W, 133 Cle +145 W
April 1: 1693 SDG -210 W, 224 Phi -122 L
April 2: 380 Phi +107 L
April 3: 505 Phi +156
Phils have lost 3 in a row, have one more shot at winning as a big dog. If they lose, system will lose -$1192 and only win $700.
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0), Hou(1), Cle(1), SDG(2)
Amount Won: $700
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178 L, 392 Hou -153 W, 133 Cle +145 W
April 1: 1693 SDG -210 W, 224 Phi -122 L
April 2: 380 Phi +107 L
April 3: 505 Phi +156
Phils have lost 3 in a row, have one more shot at winning as a big dog. If they lose, system will lose -$1192 and only win $700.
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0), Hou(1), Cle(1), SDG(2)
Amount Won: $700
Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178 L, 392 Hou -153 W, 133 Cle +145 W
April 1: 1693 SDG -210 W, 224 Phi -122 L
April 2: 380 Phi +107 L
April 3: 505 Phi +156 L
Phils lost 4 in a row, so the system loses -$1192 on the Phils and only wins $700. Net -$492. Total Amt bet $ 5053.
Shows that chases with dogs (that fail) will lose way less than large favorites (that fail). However, it's also much more likely that a series like the Phils will lose 4.
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0), Hou(1), Cle(1), SDG(2)
All of the out-of-sample data put together: W/L 138-6, net +11.74u (514.31u total risked since 2010), ROI = +2.28%.
This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2023 season. Will look forward to next year!
March 30: 235 Atl -235 W, 100 Phi +120 L, 190 SDG -190 L, 166 LAD -166 W, 156 Hou -156 L, 170, NYY -170 W, 100 Cle +108 L, 118 Sea -118 W
March 31: 516 SDG -178 L, 392 Hou -153 W, 133 Cle +145 W
April 1: 1693 SDG -210 W, 224 Phi -122 L
April 2: 380 Phi +107 L
April 3: 505 Phi +156 L
Phils lost 4 in a row, so the system loses -$1192 on the Phils and only wins $700. Net -$492. Total Amt bet $ 5053.
Shows that chases with dogs (that fail) will lose way less than large favorites (that fail). However, it's also much more likely that a series like the Phils will lose 4.
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): Atl(0), LAD(0), NYY(0), Sea(0), Hou(1), Cle(1), SDG(2)
All of the out-of-sample data put together: W/L 138-6, net +11.74u (514.31u total risked since 2010), ROI = +2.28%.
This is the statistically significant result of the system up to and including the 2023 season. Will look forward to next year!
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Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 20: 200 LAD -200 W
March 28: 117 Atl -117 PPD, 93 Phi +107 PPD, 220 AZ -220 W, 145 Hou -145 L, 110, Minn -110 W, 115 TEX -115 W, 181 BAL -181 W
March 29: 125 Atl -125, 87 Phi +115, 319 Hou -130
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): LAD(0), AZ(0), TEX(0), BAL(0), Minn(0)
March 20: 200 LAD -200 W
March 28: 117 Atl -117 PPD, 93 Phi +107 PPD, 220 AZ -220 W, 145 Hou -145 L, 110, Minn -110 W, 115 TEX -115 W, 181 BAL -181 W
March 29: 125 Atl -125, 87 Phi +115, 319 Hou -130
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): LAD(0), AZ(0), TEX(0), BAL(0), Minn(0)
Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 20: 200 LAD -200 W
March 28: 117 Atl -117 PPD, 93 Phi +107 PPD, 220 AZ -220 W, 145 Hou -145 L, 110, Minn -110 W, 115 TEX -115 W, 181 BAL -181 W
March 29: 125 Atl -125 W, 87 Phi +115 L, 319 Hou -130 L
March 30: 152 Phi +123 , 733 Hou -130
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): LAD(0), AZ(0), TEX(0), BAL(0), Minn(0), ATL(0)
March 20: 200 LAD -200 W
March 28: 117 Atl -117 PPD, 93 Phi +107 PPD, 220 AZ -220 W, 145 Hou -145 L, 110, Minn -110 W, 115 TEX -115 W, 181 BAL -181 W
March 29: 125 Atl -125 W, 87 Phi +115 L, 319 Hou -130 L
March 30: 152 Phi +123 , 733 Hou -130
Teams that have won (w/ # losses): LAD(0), AZ(0), TEX(0), BAL(0), Minn(0), ATL(0)
Date Bet-Size ML Result
March 20: 200 LAD -200 W
March 28: 117 Atl -117 PPD, 93 Phi +107 PPD, 220 AZ -220 W, 145 Hou -145 L, 110, Minn -110 W, 115 TEX -115 W, 181 BAL -181 W
March 29: 125 Atl -125 W, 87 Phi +115 L, 319 Hou -130 L
March 30: 152 Phi +123 L, 733 Hou -130 L
March 31: 282 Phi +120, 1581 Hou -122
Last shot for Houston, a loss gives a total loss of -2771.
March 20: 200 LAD -200 W
March 28: 117 Atl -117 PPD, 93 Phi +107 PPD, 220 AZ -220 W, 145 Hou -145 L, 110, Minn -110 W, 115 TEX -115 W, 181 BAL -181 W
March 29: 125 Atl -125 W, 87 Phi +115 L, 319 Hou -130 L
March 30: 152 Phi +123 L, 733 Hou -130 L
March 31: 282 Phi +120, 1581 Hou -122
Last shot for Houston, a loss gives a total loss of -2771.