MrOverUnder86
EOG Enthusiast
Record: 115-58-3, 66.5% (Over/Unders: 19-9, Sides: 14-9-1, Teasers: 34-16, Props: 16-15-2, ML: 2-0, 2nd Half: 4-4, Live: 26-5)
Amount: +$1,092
(Parlays: 1-1, not reflected in my overall $$ amount or record)
Wow, Week 17 is here, as another seemingly quick season is about to be in the books, and thankfully, a career-best one for me personally in terms of gambling. It?s been fun joining this community and giving the hundreds of you who read this consistent winners on a weekly basis, and it?s been even more fun these past several weeks in which I?ve put together what has to be considered one of the best runs in all of America for any handicapper this season. I mean, 7-0 last week, after being 7-0 the week before, and 9-1 the week before that, meaning I enter this final week of the 2014 campaign on a 23-1 run!!! I literally used to think these were impossible, but as all of you have witnessed, it actually CAN be attained, and I?m certainly honored that I?ve been able to actually do it. So with that said, here?s my Week 17.
Lions/Packers O45 (Bought 1? P) - $35 to win $25
Analysis: Interestingly, in the over/unders where I have bought more than a half-point, the insurance has yet to come into play, so for those who tail me and don?t like when I do that, you probably don?t need to. However, while 46ish is always a worthless number and usually can be left alone, this is a big game with important implications (Division title) so I want to be protected in case it results in the ever-popular 24-21 score. I?ve had a lot of good fortune this year with overs in Lambeau Field, as the Packers high-octane offense has been even more on point during home games throughout 2014. Yes, their offensive unit has looked closer to human than ever these past couple of weeks, especially two weeks ago in that loss in Buffalo, but Aaron Rodgers appeared to return back to normal in Tampa last week, and with the playoffs so close, it?s crucial that Green Bay gets back into its rhythm entering their postseason opener. As for the Lions, they haven?t won in Lambeau since 1991, which is always cool when a streak that lengthy still exists in modern day football, but I believe they?ll put up a fight. Matthew Stafford has not looked his sharpest, nor has he been his most consistent, but he has all his weapons healthy, which should lead him to post one of his respectable statlines. Thus, we could have a close game here, and hopefully one in which that is competitive and on its way to 45 or more.
Bengals @ Steelers -3 (Bought ? P) - $35 to win $25
Analysis: To me, there are several basic reasons to take this game that I think will make it pay off. One, the Bengals are marred by the flu right now. If some of your key players are not at 100-percent, it affects the rest of the club, and you just can?t afford something like that in such a high-stakes game. Two, they?re coming off a supreme high, after their very impressive win on Monday Night (Short week as well) at home against Denver. That was also a very draining win, having to need all 60 minutes of that game to pull it out, so the emotional high after something like that will be tough to deal with when tasked to win a division title in a game against arguably your biggest rival. Three, the Steelers are legit and built to go far this postseason. At the end of the day, it?s just tough to see the Bengals march into Pittsburgh -- given the condition they?re in at the moment -- and somehow end up on top. As a result, I like the Steelers here, before they make some type of run in the playoffs. There?s a lot of unique talent there that makes them a real contender.
BAL -1, SD +16, SEA +2, DEN -1 - $78 to win $60
BAL -1, IND +5?, SD +16, DEN -1 - $39 to win $30
IND +5?, SD +16, SEA +2, DEN -1 - $39 to win $30
Analysis: One of the reasons for my current historic streak has been my surprising undefeated record with teasers over that span, and I think I have some more excellent ones for this final week of the season. Obviously, I love Denver in all of them just to beat the Raiders at home in a meaningful game. You have to like Seattle, which just has to beat a demoralized Rams club at home to clinch the division. Baltimore just needing to beat the Browns stripped of all their major parts (And now former third-string RB Terrance West starting over Isaiah Crowell) and on a practice squad QB. The Colts will be playing all their starters, and get T.Y. Hilton back, too, against a garbage Titans team that has been spiraling out of control for months now. And San Diego, which could easily win in KC, just has to either do that or lose by two touchdowns or less versus Chase Daniel, so that?s a great game to add as well. As emphasized, a good week for teasers on paper.
Will probably add some more action at some point. Hopefully this legendary run continues.
Amount: +$1,092
(Parlays: 1-1, not reflected in my overall $$ amount or record)
Wow, Week 17 is here, as another seemingly quick season is about to be in the books, and thankfully, a career-best one for me personally in terms of gambling. It?s been fun joining this community and giving the hundreds of you who read this consistent winners on a weekly basis, and it?s been even more fun these past several weeks in which I?ve put together what has to be considered one of the best runs in all of America for any handicapper this season. I mean, 7-0 last week, after being 7-0 the week before, and 9-1 the week before that, meaning I enter this final week of the 2014 campaign on a 23-1 run!!! I literally used to think these were impossible, but as all of you have witnessed, it actually CAN be attained, and I?m certainly honored that I?ve been able to actually do it. So with that said, here?s my Week 17.
Lions/Packers O45 (Bought 1? P) - $35 to win $25
Analysis: Interestingly, in the over/unders where I have bought more than a half-point, the insurance has yet to come into play, so for those who tail me and don?t like when I do that, you probably don?t need to. However, while 46ish is always a worthless number and usually can be left alone, this is a big game with important implications (Division title) so I want to be protected in case it results in the ever-popular 24-21 score. I?ve had a lot of good fortune this year with overs in Lambeau Field, as the Packers high-octane offense has been even more on point during home games throughout 2014. Yes, their offensive unit has looked closer to human than ever these past couple of weeks, especially two weeks ago in that loss in Buffalo, but Aaron Rodgers appeared to return back to normal in Tampa last week, and with the playoffs so close, it?s crucial that Green Bay gets back into its rhythm entering their postseason opener. As for the Lions, they haven?t won in Lambeau since 1991, which is always cool when a streak that lengthy still exists in modern day football, but I believe they?ll put up a fight. Matthew Stafford has not looked his sharpest, nor has he been his most consistent, but he has all his weapons healthy, which should lead him to post one of his respectable statlines. Thus, we could have a close game here, and hopefully one in which that is competitive and on its way to 45 or more.
Bengals @ Steelers -3 (Bought ? P) - $35 to win $25
Analysis: To me, there are several basic reasons to take this game that I think will make it pay off. One, the Bengals are marred by the flu right now. If some of your key players are not at 100-percent, it affects the rest of the club, and you just can?t afford something like that in such a high-stakes game. Two, they?re coming off a supreme high, after their very impressive win on Monday Night (Short week as well) at home against Denver. That was also a very draining win, having to need all 60 minutes of that game to pull it out, so the emotional high after something like that will be tough to deal with when tasked to win a division title in a game against arguably your biggest rival. Three, the Steelers are legit and built to go far this postseason. At the end of the day, it?s just tough to see the Bengals march into Pittsburgh -- given the condition they?re in at the moment -- and somehow end up on top. As a result, I like the Steelers here, before they make some type of run in the playoffs. There?s a lot of unique talent there that makes them a real contender.
BAL -1, SD +16, SEA +2, DEN -1 - $78 to win $60
BAL -1, IND +5?, SD +16, DEN -1 - $39 to win $30
IND +5?, SD +16, SEA +2, DEN -1 - $39 to win $30
Analysis: One of the reasons for my current historic streak has been my surprising undefeated record with teasers over that span, and I think I have some more excellent ones for this final week of the season. Obviously, I love Denver in all of them just to beat the Raiders at home in a meaningful game. You have to like Seattle, which just has to beat a demoralized Rams club at home to clinch the division. Baltimore just needing to beat the Browns stripped of all their major parts (And now former third-string RB Terrance West starting over Isaiah Crowell) and on a practice squad QB. The Colts will be playing all their starters, and get T.Y. Hilton back, too, against a garbage Titans team that has been spiraling out of control for months now. And San Diego, which could easily win in KC, just has to either do that or lose by two touchdowns or less versus Chase Daniel, so that?s a great game to add as well. As emphasized, a good week for teasers on paper.
Will probably add some more action at some point. Hopefully this legendary run continues.