Got a few wagers contingent on Lacerda's performance here. Reviewing footage this guy is uber athletic and very talented on feet and ground. Cardio is a complete quesiton mark as he has finished everyone in the first round. Compound that with likely adrenaline dump in ufc debut. Molina is alot more technical and a skilled striker himself. Many think of Molina as a technician but the guy has pop. In his last 2 fights he has been unable to get the finish but has dropped his opponent multiple times in each bout. As technical as he is he embraces the chaos and is willing to enter a fire fight. Expecting an early surge of chaos from Lacerda which ends in a finish or gasses himself out allowing Molina to pick him apart late.
Maybe I overrate Jai Herbert, but in a standup battle it is hard to beat his right hand. Piston-like quick and powerful. He possesses good movement and holds a reach advantage on just about everyone. Herberts bjj is bad but I dont see the threat from Worthy here. I expect Worthy to get picked apart on the outside and Jai to find the chin
Don't really see what Pickett has for Staropoli here. Had 3u on Star a month ago at -180 but fight got scratched due to covid, fight reposted at -240 where it was trending at closing last time around. Staropoli SOS has been brutal and is finally facing a guy with lesser skill standing and no threat in the ground game. Rate Star better in cardio, durability, striking. Neither grapples. Even if Pickett shows that today, Laureanos getups have been impressive against grappling aces like DOlidze. KO or bust for Pickett imo.
Frustrating. Sweep the big ones and get wrecked on undercard. On the wrong end of all 3 point deductions. Choi's hurt the most as he probably finishes the fight if he doesnt knee. 5.6u swing.
3* [24-19] +8.36
3*Jai Herbert -105 W Closing Line: -180
3*Francisco Trinaldo -115 W Closing Line: -140
3*Daniel Lacerda/Jeff Molina Does Not Go The Distance +125 W Closing Line: -120
2*Laureano Staropoli -240 L Closing Line: -220
0.5*Laureano Staropoli via TKO/KO/DQ +425 L Closing Line: +300
2*Seung Woo Choi -180 L Closing Line: -275
2*Paulo Costa +130 L Closing Line: +160
1*Rick Glenn +300 DRAW
1*Randa Markos +120 W Closing Line: +110
0.5*Randa Markos "Live Bet" -180 W
1*Fight Does Not Go to Decision Vettori/Costa -150 L Closing Line: -175
1*Joselyn Edwards +145 L Closing Line: +130
1*Daniel Lacerda Decision=No Action +140 L Closing Line: -135
0.5*Daniel Lacerda Inside the Distance +375 L Closing Line: +250
.15*Daniel Lacerda via TKO/KO/DQ +1150 L Closing Line: +500
.10*Daniel Lacerda in Round 1 +1000 L Closing Line: +600
.10*Jeff Molina in Round 3 +1500 L Closing Line: +1200
1*Under 2.5Rds Martinez/Lazishvili +104 L Closing Line: -110
was away from comp, I would've taken Vettori given the madness thats occurred over the last 4 days regarding Costa's weight. I made my Costa bet prior to that, assuming these guys weren't fucking retarded.
2*Movlid Khaybulaev -165 W Closing Line: -180
1.5*Marthin Hamlet +168 L Closing Line: +170
1.5*Ante Delija +165 L Closing Line: +170
1*Ray Cooper +180 W Closing Line: +155
0.5*Ray Cooper Inside the Distance +350 W Closing Line: +300
0.5*Abigail Montes +175 W Closing Line: +155