EOG's Best Bet thread for Sunday, February 25

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Previous BB going today at 7A

Chelsea to lift the EFL Trophy +135

Liverpool is the top team in the PL. But they have a lot of injuries. They also played a home game on Wednesday. Now they have to play again in London - and that is about a 3-hour train ride (shorter flight) 4 days later.

Chelsea last played on Feb. 17 - so they are as well-rested as can be and based in London, the commute to Wembley is much shorter for all Chelsea people and supporters. Their season has been - disastrous (and that is being very kind) so far. Their table position is not going to get them into European competition next season and for a side like Chelsea, thus hurts. HOWEVER - a win here DOES get them a spot in Europe next season. That cannot be overlooked.

We have the more rested team that is playing for something far greater than winning this game against a side that has more fatigue and injuries and is focused on winning the PL. Liverpool would love to get a trophy for their outgoing manager, but they have bigger goals than this in mind!

The total on this game is 3 with OVER a slight favorite. I don't see any way we see 4+ goals in this game. A 0-0, 90-minute draw pays over 14-1 and is not the worst bet one can make in this game knowing it is played on the big pitch of Wembley.

***Edited to add: Playing this game to go to PKs is also not the worst bet one could make on this game***
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Previous BB going today at 7A

Chelsea to lift the EFL Trophy +135

Liverpool is the top team in the PL. But they have a lot of injuries. They also played a home game on Wednesday. Now they have to play again in London - and that is about a 3-hour train ride (shorter flight) 4 days later.

Chelsea last played on Feb. 17 - so they are as well-rested as can be and based in London, the commute to Wembley is much shorter for all Chelsea people and supporters. Their season has been - disastrous (and that is being very kind) so far. Their table position is not going to get them into European competition next season and for a side like Chelsea, thus hurts. HOWEVER - a win here DOES get them a spot in Europe next season. That cannot be overlooked.

We have the more rested team that is playing for something far greater than winning this game against a side that has more fatigue and injuries and is focused on winning the PL. Liverpool would love to get a trophy for their outgoing manager, but they have bigger goals than this in mind!

The total on this game is 3 with OVER a slight favorite. I don't see any way we see 4+ goals in this game. A 0-0, 90-minute draw pays over 14-1 and is not the worst bet one can make in this game knowing it is played on the big pitch of Wembley.

***Edited to add: Playing this game to go to PKs is also not the worst bet one could make on this game***

1400+ on 0-0 cashes.
Un3 easily cashes.
ALMOST get to PKs.
Liverpool score late in 2nd AET

UGH!

Winkyduck 1323-1882-105 +34.23 UNITS - (Wed March 6: FC Copenhagen +2.25 goals, Man City TT Un2.5 +126; Gonzaga to MISS the NCAA Tourney +250; Colorado WCBB to win Title 66-1; Marvin Harrison, Jr. to be drafted 3rd overall +240 Cavs to win Div +310; Victor W to NOT win RoY +130 & NOT to be eligible for Postseason awards: Victor W +225; Nuggets RSW Un51.5 +130, Memphis to MISS the Playoffs+145 & RSW Under 44.5 -115, Wizards to have fewest NBA wins this season +250; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200; LA Kings to MISS the Playoffs +250; PL Plays: City/Liverpool finish 1/2 (In this order) +450, Bournemouth to be Relegated +275, Brighton Under 56.5 points -106 & Un58.5 -115, Bournemouth Un38.5 -110, Luton Town Ov29.5 +106, West Ham Un46.5 points-120, Sheffield United to finish DFL +250, Newcastle to win FA Cup 13-1; Clemson to win CWS 28-1; MLB RSW Plays - both Sox UNDER: Boston 80.5 -115, White 63.5 -120 and Angels Un72.5 -115; Beto O'Rourke to be Dem 2024 POTUS Nominee 66-1, Kari Lake to be 2024 GOP VP Nominee: 40-1; 2024 Republican Senate Races MoV - all UNDER: Missouri 11.5% -120, Tennessee 19.5% -120, Texass 6% +150; Lauren Boebert to be re-elected in 2024: NO -225, Joe Biden to win the 2024 POTUS Election +165)
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

LA Galaxy PICK +132

Winkyduck 1323-1882-106 +34.23 UNITS - (Wed March 6: FC Copenhagen +2.25 goals, Man City TT Un2.5 +126; Gonzaga to MISS the NCAA Tourney +250; Colorado WCBB to win Title 66-1; Marvin Harrison, Jr. to be drafted 3rd overall +240 Cavs to win Div +310; Victor W to NOT win RoY +130 & NOT to be eligible for Postseason awards: Victor W +225; Nuggets RSW Un51.5 +130, Memphis to MISS the Playoffs+145 & RSW Under 44.5 -115, Wizards to have fewest NBA wins this season +250; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200; LA Kings to MISS the Playoffs +250; PL Plays: City/Liverpool finish 1/2 (In this order) +450, Bournemouth to be Relegated +275, Brighton Under 56.5 points -106 & Un58.5 -115, Bournemouth Un38.5 -110, Luton Town Ov29.5 +106, West Ham Un46.5 points-120, Sheffield United to finish DFL +250, Newcastle to win FA Cup 13-1; Clemson to win CWS 28-1; MLB RSW Plays - both Sox UNDER: Boston 80.5 -115, White 63.5 -120 and Angels Un72.5 -115; Beto O'Rourke to be Dem 2024 POTUS Nominee 66-1, Kari Lake to be 2024 GOP VP Nominee: 40-1; 2024 Republican Senate Races MoV - all UNDER: Missouri 11.5% -120, Tennessee 19.5% -120, Texass 6% +150; Lauren Boebert to be re-elected in 2024: NO -225, Joe Biden to win the 2024 POTUS Election +165)
 
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