Re: cassiusclay's mlb 2011 season
Re: cassiusclay's mlb 2011 season
CC - What with no games today, I opted to check out your running totals. You have nothing to be ashamed of for the last week's play - faves are running wild (as you well know by now).
Just within my own betting range - +110/-120 to +150/-160, away dogs have been abysmal, going 18-39 overall, 31.6%.
But I'm also seeing that you sold yourself short by 1.25u as I calculate your net to be only -12.10u. The thing which really hurt you was those 3&4u games on Jul 6.
My own strategy involves trending, and it took until the last coupla days to figure out that dogs just weren't doing it, having gone 7-10 (including 2-6 on dogs). But once the trend appeared to have been established, I ended up the first half-seaon at 7-0, all home fave W's.
Dunno about you, but I plan to take it slow and easy starting out the second half as things generally seem to change considerably at that point. Same thing regarding the change in and out of Interleague play - prior to it starting up on June 17, away dogs (again, in my betting range) had gone 53-45 (54.1%) on the month to date. I only went 12-10 (+4.23u) on them during that span because I had a hard time believing they were going to keep up that torrid pace.... but of course they did.
I also notice you've developed a good following which surprises me a little since I'd kinda given up on the MLB forum attracting viewers. I know that three years back when I was part of a small-time syndicate, we posted picks there, and were up 24u by early August, hardly ever generating any comments at all even though we did a write-up on each and every pick, plus published running totals similar to the way you're doing it.
Anyway, GL in the second half.
AJ
