2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Predictions:

Towson beats Drexel in the championship game: Think Drexel's defense has finally started coming together after missing so many guys to injury the 1st 2/3 of the season. Delaware is an awful defensive team and if they aren't hitting their shots (like W&M), they are very vulnerable. Towson is the most complete team in the field + has a stud in Benimon (which is why I like them). However, they have at times settled for too many jumpshots and when that happens, they struggle to score.

Sleeper team to watch: C of C - Even though they are badly flawed on the offensive end, they play very good defense and rebound the ball on both ends of the court well. If they can find a hot hand in the CAA tourney, they will be a tough out (Sadly the worst 1st round matchup W&M could have gotten...)

Friday

Hofstra -1 (1.5 units) - Hofstra has started to play better again and I can't pass up the small line here (I think Hofstra should have opened -3). Assuming a Hofstra win, I will probably back them against UD also assuming they are a big enough dog.
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

Saturday

Towson -7.5 vs. JMU (2 units)

More to come tomorrow
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

Pathetic showing from Drexel, and sadly they still could have won if NE didn't shoot uncharacteristically well from the FT line.

Adding:

W&M -2.5 (2 units)
W&M C of C OVER 131.1 (1 unit)
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

Adding:

W&M -4 2h (1.5 units) - C of C hit some difficult shots in the 1st half that I don't think they are consistent enough to hit in the 2nd half. W&M needs to take smarter shots on the offensive end than they did in the 1st half
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

Nice comeback by W&M. If they can come out with that 2nd half defensive intensity and hustle tomorrow they have a chance against Towson.

CAA tourney: 5-2, +5.75

Total: 53-38-1, +24.85
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

Saturday:

NE +3 1h vs Delaware -105 (1 unit)
NE UD 1h UNDER 67 (1 unit)
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

Way off on the under. NE played at a much faster tempo than I expected (and surprisingly well).

Adding:

NE UD 2H OVER 79 (1 unit) - Just think this will end up being within 2-3 possessions and will see a foul fest in the last minute and a half. The tempo + NE's ability to dominate the offensive glass leans me towards the over.
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

As great as NE was up tempo in the first half, they were the polar opposite in the second half

Adding:
Towson -1.5 1h -105 (1 unit)
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

Damn good game between Towson and W&M.

7-4, +5.6

Total: 55-40-1, +24.7
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

W&m +4.5 (2.5 units) - really think Wm has played great since the 2nd half of _he c of c game. Important for Wm to control the tempo tonight
 

WMtribe17

EOG Dedicated
Re: 2014 CAA tourney plays and predictions

At least the winning bet salvaged a disappointing night...

8-4, +8.1 units

Total: 56-40-1, +27.2 units

Overall, a solid late february/early march run to put me up a good amount.

Will probably make limited bets on postseason plays because I have difficulty predicting how a CAA team will play against non-conference opponents.
 
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