Re: Write up: (SF @ Mets) Lincecum/Pelfrey
Weather:
86 with 12 mph winds blowing out to left.
Pelfrey batted Ball:
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2008</td><td>
Mets</td><td align="right">
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22.8 %</td><td align="right">
46.9 %</td><td align="right">
30.3 %</td><td align="right">
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Lincecum Batted ball:
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LD%</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
GB%</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
FB%</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
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2008</td><td>
Giants</td><td align="right">
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21.7 %</td><td align="right">
44.7 %</td><td align="right">
33.6 %</td><td align="right">
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Pelfrey Pitch Selection:
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Team</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
FB</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
SL</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
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CH</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
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Pitches</th> </tr> </thead><tfoot> <tr class="GridFooter_Green" style="white-space: nowrap;"> <td>
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2008</td><td>
Mets</td><td align="right">
80.4% (93.0)</td><td align="right">
13.0% (84.7)</td><td align="right">
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6.6% (83.4)</td><td align="right">
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1654
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Lincecum Pitch Selection:
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Season</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: left;">
Team</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
FB</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
SL</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
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CB</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
CH</th><th scope="col" class="GridHeader_Green" style="font-weight: normal; white-space: nowrap; text-align: right;">
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Pitches</th> </tr> </thead><tfoot> <tr class="GridFooter_Green" style="white-space: nowrap;"> <td>
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2008</td><td>
Giants</td><td align="right">
66.3% (94.4)</td><td align="right">
2.7% (84.2)</td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
14.8% (80.0)</td><td align="right">
16.3% (83.0)</td><td align="right">
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1876</td></tr></tbody></table>
Pelfrey advanced Stats:
- 5.19 K/9
- 4.13 BB/9
- 0.38 HR/9
- .290 BAA
- .331 BABIP
Lincecum Advanced Stats:
- 9.49 K/9
- 3.42 BB/9
- 0.39 HR/9
- .235 BAA
- .318 BABIP
Sf averages 4.4 runs per game on the road where they hit .265 as a team. The Giants have struggled this year against righties batting just .259 and posting a poor OBP of .314. Young Tim lincecum is 6-0 on the road with an era a good bit under 2.00; Tim has posted 65 Ks in just over 57 road innings.
The Mets score 4.5 runs per game at home which is nothing special, but they have a very strong team OBP of .345 in those games. The Mets have been very strong over their last 7 game batting above .290 as a team. Mike Pelfrey has been very strong over his last 3 starts and hes had a good season at home overall. pelf has a home era over 3.06 and hes giving the Mets over 6 innings per start in those outings.
Head to Head:
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr class="Group_Header"><td class="Group_Header" colspan="6">
</td></tr><tr class="Column_Headers"><td class="Column_Headers" width="8%">
DATE</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="4%">
DAY</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="5%">
AWAY</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="7%">
RUNS</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="5%">
HOME</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="7%">
RUNS</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="8%">
WINNER</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="8%">
HOMELINE</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="8%">
TOTAL</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="8%">
OU</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="14%">
AWAY
STARTER</td><td class="Column_Headers" width="14%">
HOME
STARTER</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
06/04/2008</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="4%">
Wed</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
5</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
3</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
115</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
7?</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
O</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
J Maine</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
M Cain</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
06/03/2008</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="4%">
Tue</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
9</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
6</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
115</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
8?</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
O</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
P Martinez</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
B Zito</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
06/02/2008</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="4%">
Mon</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
2</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
10</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
105</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
8</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
O</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
Ol Perez</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
J Sanchez</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
05/31/2007</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="4%">
Thu</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
2</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
4</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
-140</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
7?</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
U</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
M Cain</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
O Hernandez</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
05/30/2007</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="4%">
Wed</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
3</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
0</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
-165</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
8?</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
U</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
B Zito</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
T Glavine</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
05/29/2007</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="4%">
Tue</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
4</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
5</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
-150</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
7?</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
O</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
T Lincecum</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
Ol Perez</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
05/09/2007</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="4%">
Wed</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
5</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
3</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
135</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
9</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
U</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
J Maine</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
M Morris</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
05/08/2007</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="4%">
Tue</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
4</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
1</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
105</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
8?</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
U</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
T Glavine</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
M Cain</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
05/07/2007</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="4%">
Mon</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
4</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="7%">
9</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
-120</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
8?</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="8%">
O</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
Ol Perez</td><td class="AlternatingData1" width="14%">
B Zito</td></tr><tr class="Sport_data"><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
06/04/2006</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="4%">
Sun</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
7</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="5%">
NYM</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="7%">
6</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
SF</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
-160</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
9</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="8%">
O</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
M Morris</td><td class="AlternatingData2" width="14%">
S Trachsel</td></tr></tbody></table>
Bullpens:
- The Mets Pen ranks 20th
- The SF Pen ranks 21st
Pelfrey By inning (BAA/OBPA/SLGA/OPSA):
- 1st inning .302 .375 .444 .819
- 2nd inning .241 .323 .284 .608
- 3rd inning .348 .443 .475 .918
- 4th inning .306 .381 .405 .786
- 5th inning .306 .397 .496 .893
- 6th inning .263 .398 .342 .740
- 7th inning .286 .400 .333 .733
- 8th inning .400 .333 .600 .933
Lincecum by Inning (BAA/OBPA/SLGA/OPSA)
- 1st inning .246 .292 .311 .604
- 2nd inning .183 .246 .350 .596
- 3rd inning .180 .286 .246 .532
- 4th inning .301 .363 .370 .732
- 5th inning .238 .315 .238 .553
- 6th inning .200 .273 .267 .539
- 7th inning .243 .326 .432 .758
- 8th inning .556 .600 .889 1.489
NYM batting: (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS)
- Total .259 .334 .396 .730
- Last 7 days .294 .359 .419 .778
- Last 14 days .273 .348 .403 .751
- Last 28 days .272 .341 .406 .747
SF Batting: (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS)
- Total .260 .324 .392 .716
- Last 7 days .254 .315 .379 .694
- Last 14 days .237 .301 .356 .657
- Last 28 days .252 .318 .358 .676
Pelfrey has been good at home, but hasn't been great over the first few innings this season. Neither of these pens is terribly reliable, but i'll take the youngster with the better baa, k/9, and bb/9 ratios on the road where he has thrived so far in 2008. The mets bats have been hot, but if someone can cool this group down its the SI coverboy. I also lean towards a FF u 4 -107.
my play for this one, so far, is SF first five -102.
(mofome)