Who wins the Preakness?
- Thread starter Viejo Dinosaur
- Start date
One note about the MLB career of Matt Williams that slipped my mind: He was a drug cheat, listed in the Mitchell report in 2007.
Wikipedia claims Williams is a three-time loser.
He does, however, live in Bel Air which tells you he protected his money from the ladies.
Viejo Dinosaur
EOG Master
Looking for Skippy to get a piece of the trifecta….hopefully the top part
Post time for the Preakness Stakes is set for Saturday at 7:01 p.m. ET.
Viejo Dinosaur
EOG Master
Boxing 2-5-9 for the Preakness…throwing the favorite out….
trytrytry
All I do is trytrytry
fun thread
anyway
wager one 9 units Epicenter over Early Voting straight exacta
wager 2 0.5 units trifecta
Early voting and secret OAth Armagnac
over early voting secret oath simplification Armagnac over
early voting secret oath simplification Armagnac Creative Minister Skippylongstocking Happy JAck
anyway
wager one 9 units Epicenter over Early Voting straight exacta
wager 2 0.5 units trifecta
Early voting and secret OAth Armagnac
over early voting secret oath simplification Armagnac over
early voting secret oath simplification Armagnac Creative Minister Skippylongstocking Happy JAck
Here's an interesting note about the Preakness Stakes you will not read anywhere else:
With 30 minutes to post, three longshots appear to be receiving support at the betting windows.
There's #3 Fenwick at odds of 50/1 on the morning line, #6 Happy Jack at 30/1 on the morning line and #9 Skippylongstocking at 20/1 on the morning line.
All three horses are currently held at odds of 9/1.
Here's my theory: A big betting group (or maybe more than one) is betting against #8 Epicenter to win the race.
These big betting groups are not always betting ON horses to win, but rather establishing portfolios which bet AGAINST favored horses to win.
This explains why all three longshots are priced identically with a half-hour before the big race when they should be two or three times the current price.
And, oh yes, these big betting groups salivate for a race like the Preakness where the current win pool is approaching $10 million.
With 30 minutes to post, three longshots appear to be receiving support at the betting windows.
There's #3 Fenwick at odds of 50/1 on the morning line, #6 Happy Jack at 30/1 on the morning line and #9 Skippylongstocking at 20/1 on the morning line.
All three horses are currently held at odds of 9/1.
Here's my theory: A big betting group (or maybe more than one) is betting against #8 Epicenter to win the race.
These big betting groups are not always betting ON horses to win, but rather establishing portfolios which bet AGAINST favored horses to win.
This explains why all three longshots are priced identically with a half-hour before the big race when they should be two or three times the current price.
And, oh yes, these big betting groups salivate for a race like the Preakness where the current win pool is approaching $10 million.
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Take a look at the past performance lines of #3 Fenwick.
There's no way he should be 9/1 right now.
There's no way he should be 9/1 right now.
And one other note to expose the unnatural amount of money bet to win on #3 Fenwick:
The Pick 3 ending in Race 13 to Epicenter is paying $14 while the Pick 3 to #3 Fenwick is $834.
The Pick 3 ending in Race 13 to Epicenter is paying $14 while the Pick 3 to #3 Fenwick is $834.
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trytrytry
All I do is trytrytry
ummm you have lots of great takes on things this one imo not so much. this is rich strike effect anything can happen recency bias. its in win place and show pools, not in any exotics, big groups anti epicenter would be in the other pools or both . lets enjoy the race!!! the temp not hurting them at all which is cool....
It is NOW post time.
A total of $14 million in the win pool as the first horse loaded the gate.
BLUELINE was right about Early Voting.
Heim
EOG Master
How about me JK?
Same Chad Brown pattern....but I can't include all the inside stuff.
He couldn't hide it on 'Racing' how ready he was.
Final win pool for the Preakness: $14,650,559.
Nicely done, HEIM.
I recalled reading another EOG contributor who liked Early Voting, but I forgot who it was.
Sports and horses, Heim a dual-threat.
Paid $13.40 on the front end.
Epicenter never looked like a winner, though he ran second.
Heim
EOG Master
Lukas got a ton of fanfare pre-race, then he completely changes
the running style of his filly.
The massive pools also allow the big betting groups to invest one million dollars or more without detection by claiming the general public at-large is dominating the pools.
Merely speculation.
By the way, similar situations take place in Hong Kong racing.
Merely speculation.
By the way, similar situations take place in Hong Kong racing.
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Pint-size filly, but oh what a pint!
The connections of Early Voting passed on the Derby to have a fresh horse in the Preakness.
Things worked out beautifully: A torrid pace in the Derby that would have likely been too much for Early Voting and a much softer, much smaller field in the Preakness Stakes.
Things worked out beautifully: A torrid pace in the Derby that would have likely been too much for Early Voting and a much softer, much smaller field in the Preakness Stakes.
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TRY3 had the right pair but in the wrong order.
Joel Rosario's ride aboard Epicenter is coming under some harsh criticism.
Trainer Steve Asmussen was disappointed, to say the least.
Trainer Steve Asmussen was disappointed, to say the least.
And, as BLUELINE noted, winning jock Jose Ortiz was simply "biding his time" while cruising alongside pacesetter Armagnac before Early Voting took the lead for good.
Simplification bled in the Preakness.
I can’t remember seeing a legit 50/1 morning line horse in a Grade getting bet to single digits. Absolutely baffling.