Yeah. Clearly anyone with an IQ above freezing thinks there is a standard deviation on the planet where a result of 649 could EVER include the possibility of 260,000.
LMAO.
Obviously the source you referred to didn't track all the hundreds of thousands who attended the rally.
It does state cases related to the event were reported in 30 jurisdictions.
",,,within two weeks of the Sturgis Rally. An additional 186 (29%) secondary and tertiary cases were reported by 17 jurisdictions" is the limit of your study. It doesn't go to 4th, 5th, 10th, 100th, 1000th level cases. Just 1, 2 & 3.
"While the number of cases identified is sizable—140 cases per 100,000 attendees—it is likely that the true national impact of the Sturgis event is underestimated because attendees with asymptomatic or mild illness may not have been tested for SARS-CoV-2, attendees may not have reported attending the Sturgis rally and because of variability in health department resources to identify and interview all COVID-19 cases, identify sources of infection, and conduct contact tracing and detailed outbreak investigations."
Do you even read your own sources? LOL.
"Widespread transmission of SARS-CoV-2 has been documented among people attending gatherings such as birthday parties, church events, and weddings [1-3], resulting in secondary spread in the community and workplaces far from the place of the original exposure. At those gatherings, most attendees were local residents. In contrast, Sturgis Rally attendees came from 61% of all counties in the US, including hotspot areas, according to an analysis of anonymous cell phone data, indicating the potential for widespread infection [6]. A recent analysis of an international business conference in Boston demonstrated how a single event, which brought together attendees from across the US and Europe, led to the national transmission of the outbreak strain [7]. CDC recommendations highlight the increased risk of COVID-19 transmission at in-person events when attendees travel from outside the local area and where it is difficult for individuals to physically distance."
"COVID-19 risk mitigation strategies were difficult to enforce at the Sturgis Rally. South Dakota had implemented few restrictions on business operations during the COVID-19 pandemic and there were no state, county, or city mask mandates in effect at the time of the Rally. Multiple news outlets noted the absence of physical distancing and face mask use during the 10-day Sturgis Rally [9].
"There are at least three limitations to this report. First, given the volume of COVID-19 cases, health departments could not interview all cases and may have missed travel or event exposures linking cases to the Sturgis Rally. Second, among case interviews completed, participation in the Sturgis Rally and identification of contacts may have been underestimated. According to several state health departments, some attendees were reluctant to report names of contacts and detailed travel history. Third, not all health departments submitted data for this national analysis.
"...The Sturgis Rally had many characteristics of a superspreading event: large crowds, high intensity of contact between people, potential for highly infectious individuals traveling from hotspots, and events in poorly ventilated indoor environments. Although specimens were not available for whole genome sequencing to identify this as a super-spreading event, the event resulted in secondary transmission of COVID-19 to those who did not attend the event, particularly within South Dakota and bordering states. Such mass events can result in the resurgence of COVID-19 in counties and states even after epidemic control has been achieved through local risk mitigation activities."
https://watermark.silverchair.com/c...gLUxnBCXn0w2d7tRPMq5Xvo5uKW5aV0n3NO4Z4GUkpLv4