EOG's Best Bet thread for Sunday, May 16

bobodad

EOG Addicted
3 team parlay +148 Sports Interaction

New York Knicks -667
Phoenix Suns -416
Calgary Flames -136
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

6-teamer (That I will go 5-1 on) pays: +3.27

529 Jazz -476
535 Suns -439
550 Blazers -440
556 Knicks -773
Monday NHL: Avs -257
Thursday NHL: Leaves -203
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Pinny

6-teamer (That I will go 5-1 on) pays: +3.27

529 Jazz -476
535 Suns -439
550 Blazers -440
556 Knicks -773
Monday NHL: Avs -257
Thursday NHL: Leaves -203



Winkyduck 768-1063-56 -26.28 UNITS (6-teamer paying +3.27 with Avs -257 and Leaves -203 remaining; Brentford to be promoted to the PL +160; Anderson Cooper to be the new permanent Jeopardy host +500; Maple Leaves to win the Cup +1400; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200; Joe Ingles to be NBA 6th Man/Year +600 AND Tom Thibodeau to be CoY +1100; Rockies Win % UNDER 40 -126; Tim Tebow Ov0.5 Rec TDs +400)
 
Winkyduck 768-1063-56 -26.28 UNITS (6-teamer paying +3.27 with Avs -257 and Leaves -203 remaining; Brentford to be promoted to the PL +160; Anderson Cooper to be the new permanent Jeopardy host +500; Maple Leaves to win the Cup +1400; First non-extradition country Trump enters: Russia +200; Joe Ingles to be NBA 6th Man/Year +600 AND Tom Thibodeau to be CoY +1100; Rockies Win % UNDER 40 -126; Tim Tebow Ov0.5 Rec TDs +400)

That Leafs bet +1400 is looking good. It was about +500 at Pinnacle the other day, so you have great value now.
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
That Leafs bet +1400 is looking good. It was about +500 at Pinnacle the other day, so you have great value now.

Confession Time: Do I REALLY think they are gonna win the Cup - or did I think so before the season began? Probably not. But I felt pretty confident (and still do) they get out of the division and make the Semis and if that happens I won't see anywhere close to +1400. Maybe +350 but even then I doubt it. I made this play (and in REAL LIFE) because I knew +1400 would not be a number I could get anywhere near after about 1/2 way thru the season.
 
Confession Time: Do I REALLY think they are gonna win the Cup - or did I think so before the season began? Probably not. But I felt pretty confident (and still do) they get out of the division and make the Semis and if that happens I won't see anywhere close to +1400. Maybe +350 but even then I doubt it. I made this play (and in REAL LIFE) because I knew +1400 would not be a number I could get anywhere near after about 1/2 way thru the season.

Sharp bet. Are you thinking you might hedge or add other teams to the portfolio later?
 

winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Sharp bet. Are you thinking you might hedge or add other teams to the portfolio later?

Don't know. I know I won't hedge until the Semis. I also took +1400 because unlike past years where the Leaves had to beat (usually) Boston AND Tampa - now they don't have to beat either to make the Semis and that is huge.

What will probably hurt them is whoever wins the North is gonna have to come down to the USA for the Semis and Finals. I don't see the 3 USA teams going to Canada so whoever wins the North is gonna have to come down to the USA and that might hurt whoever it is because they will lose the HIA gained from home fans at games. If the Leaves win the North I see them playing "home" games in either Detroit or Buffalo
 
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