Circa Survivor begins with an overlay of $1,920,000.00!

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Week 16 (Sun/Mon) Team Availability:

Team Avail
BUF,CLE,DAL,DEN,GB,IND,LAR,MIA,NE 0
ARI,MIN,TB 1
CHI,KC 2
SF 3
PHI 4
CIN,LAC,PIT,TEN 5
BAL,CAR 6
NO 8
ATL,DET,HOU,JAX,LV,NYG,NYJ,SEA,WSH 9
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Possible picks for Week 16 (Sun/Mon) (Edit: add actual picks, got 8 of 9 correct)
Entrant Pick
2017TLC LAC -> LAC
CHRIS PIPER LAC -> PHI
MYCOOL PHI -> PHI
On Top 247 PHI -> PHI
PARLAY G LAC -> LAC
RETURN OF SURVIVOR ATL -> ATL
Roll The Iron Dice LAC -> LAC
SYRACUSE HAWKEYES ATL -> ATL
ZENYATTA LAC -> LAC
 
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ComptrBob

EOG Master
Scores:
Late 1Q: LAC 6-7, PHI 0-0, ATL 0-3
Late 1H: LAC 12-7, PHI 0-0, ATL 7-3
Halftime: LAC 12-17, PHI 3-3, ATL 10-10
Late 3Q: LAC 15-17, PHI 13-3, ATL 13-13
4Q: LAC 23-34, PHI 34-3, ATL 20-16
Final: ATL 20-16, LAC 29-41, PHI 34-10,
 
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ComptrBob

EOG Master
Final Week 16: 2 advance with ATL, 3 advance with PHI. 4 eliminated with LAC. Equity per entry is $1.2M.
 
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ComptrBob

EOG Master
Available teams for Week 17
Team #Avail
BUF,CLE,DAL,DEN,GB,IND,LAR,MIA,NE,PHI 0
ARI,CHI,LAC,MIN,TB 1
KC,PIT,SF,TEN 2
ATL,BAL,CAR,CIN 3
DET,HOU,JAX,LV,NO,NYG,NYJ,SEA,WSH 5
 
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ComptrBob

EOG Master
A first look at Weeks 17 and 18 with teams available (all have unlikely dogs like DET, HOU, JAX, LV, etc. that are listed above with 5 avail), my guesses of picks (3 still have a shot at the $1M bonus), and a % estimate to go 20-0 (essentially the chance of cashing the 2 team fair odds ML parlay) (Edit: Update Thurs, 12/30, Sat 1/1):

All picks logivcal, correct predictions on 3 picks, alternates picked on the other 2.

Name Good teams avail + Others:: WK17 WK18 Survival% WK17-ALT
CHRIS PIPER CIN,LAC + ATL,CAR,NO,PIT,SEA:: SEA NO 52.5% LAC, NO
MYCOOL BAL,KC,SF _ ATL,CAR,NO,SEA:: SF KC 52.0%
On Top 247 BAL,CIN,KC,TEN + ATL,NO,SEA:: SEA KC 45.5% NO
RETURN OF SURVIVOR ARI,MIN,TB + CHI,NO,PIT,SEA:: SEA TB 63.7% CHI, NO, TB
SYRACUSE HAWKEYES BAL,CIN,SF,TEN + CAR,NO,SEA:: SF TEN 64.0%
 
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boston massacre

EOG Master
A first look at Weeks 17 and 18 with teams available (all have unlikely dogs like DET, HOU, JAX, LV, etc. that are listed above with 5 avail), my guesses of picks (3 still have a shot at the $1M bonus), and a % estimate to go 20-0 (essentially the chance of cashing the 2 team fair odds ML parlay):

Name Good teams + Others:: WK17 WK18 Survival%
CHRIS PIPER CIN,LAC + ATL,CAR,NO,PIT,SEA:: SEA NO 52.5%
MYCOOL BAL,KC,SF _ ATL,CAR,NO,SEA:: SF KC 56.0%
On Top 247 BAL,CIN,KC,TEN + ATL,NO,SEA:: SEA KC 52.5%
RETURN OF SURVIVOR ARI,MIN,TB + CHI,NO,PIT,SEA:: SEA TB 63.8%
SYRACUSE HAWKEYES BAL,CIN,SF,TEN + CAR,NO,SEA:: SF TEN 64.0%


If You Reach Week 18, You Could Encounter a Team That You Have Left, Referring To a Playoff Team, That Has Nothing To Play For, and Ends Up Resting Everybody.

2 Entrants This Week Will Undoubtedly Take SF

Other 3 Probably Stuck Taking SEA., Who I Wouldn't Trust.
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Specifically, Week 18 is very speculative.

My projections are KC (2), TB, TEN, and NO. Right now, KC and TB can give the entrant a chance for the $1M bonus. KC and TB have clinched their division, KC has a good chance at a bye, TB is a big longshot for a bye. TEN has a 90% chance to win the division and may have a shot at a bye. NO is about a 50/50 shot for a playoff spot.

All these situations may well change dramatically with Week 17 results.
 

blueline

EOG Master
Mike Palm talked to one of the guys that lost with SD.....said the guy had 30K on texans moneyline.....30K on the texans +12.5,,,the guy had lost about 40K hedging before the SD loss
 

Woodrow Wilson

EOG Dedicated
Circa Million III has an EOG member currently holding two spots in the top 5. He's also crushing the EOG DSI pick 5 contest being handled by Mr Bowling 300.

1 HANNIBAL BARCA-1 80 57-23-0-0 57.0
2T DURBIFY-1 80 56-24-0-0 56.0
2T HANNIBAL BARCA-2 80 56-24-0-0 56.0
2T MFC INC-1 80 56-24-0-0 56.0
5T DURBIFY-2 80 55-25-0-0 55.0

Durbify's week 17 selections.

DURBIFY-1 10. CARDINALS +6 13. EAGLES -3½ 24. TEXANS +12½ 29. PACKERS -7 32. STEELERS +3½
DURBIFY-2 10. CARDINALS +6 13. EAGLES -3½ 24. TEXANS +12½ 29. PACKERS -7 32. STEELERS +3½

HANNIBAL BARCA-1 7. BILLS -14 10. CARDINALS +6 15. CHIEFS -5 23. 49ERS -12½ 29. PACKERS -7
HANNIBAL BARCA-2 7. BILLS -14 10. CARDINALS +6 15. CHIEFS -5 23. 49ERS -12½ 29. PACKERS -7

MFC INC-1 5. BUCS -12½ 9. COWBOYS -6 17. PATRIOTS -16½ 27. RAMS -3½ 29. PACKERS -7

BOL Durbify!
 

Woodrow Wilson

EOG Dedicated
Survivor picks

CHRIS PIPER-1 22. CHARGERS PK
MYCOOL-1 24. 49ERS PK
On Top 247-2 12. SAINTS PK
RETURN OF SURVIVOR-5 26. SEAHAWKS PK
SYRACUSE HAWKEYES-1 24. 49ERS PK
 

ComptrBob

EOG Master
Week 17: All 5 advance: SF(2), LAC(1), NO(1). and SEA(1). Equity per entry still is $1.2M.
 
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winkyduck

TYVM Morgan William!!!
Bama ML +134 (Pinny) for me

Nick Saban is at least -10 over Kirby (Not-so) Smart in the coaching mismatch.

The end of 1h in the CFP Semis said it all about how inept Smart is. I promise you Saban/Bama don't :mess it up" as bad as UGA did.
 

pro analyser

EOG Dedicated
Only Saban vs Smart gives Alabama a chance. Georgia clearly the superior talent. Saban knows how to adjust. Passed vs Georgia, ran vs Cinn. If Saban wins this will be one of his greatest achievements as this team lost so much talent from a year ago. This is also the first time since Florida and Tebow that he goes in with the weaker team. Saban 140-13 last 11 years.
 

railbird

EOG Master
Bama ML +134 (Pinny) for me

Nick Saban is at least -10 over Kirby (Not-so) Smart in the coaching mismatch.

The end of 1h in the CFP Semis said it all about how inept Smart is. I promise you Saban/Bama don't :mess it up" as bad as UGA did.
smart is dumb, but saban is not that sharp either
 
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