Re: Jeff, the Check is a Pretender
Re: Jeff, the Check is a Pretender
Way too many example to list, but recently he bet the baseball Grand Salami on the Home teams since they were net ML favorites.
He also doesn't seem to be able to understand that in NBA series prices 1 team can be 55% play -2, and the very next game the OTHER guys are a 57% play at the same price +2. (Mia/Boston)
There is absolutely no way the zig zag effect translates into a 12% swing. I would gladly book your action all day and all night if there were a reasonable way to measure it. Oh, and if you hadn't stiffed me the last time.
Me thinks Check has likely never even looked or thought about ONE baseball game's run totals on home and away teams (to make it easy for him at a pk'm price). If he had he would realize how awful his analysis was.
He explained there was an impact of the bottom of the 9th omisssion. Somehow he missed the truncation of scoring for the home team in EVERY xtra inning.......
Way to misinterpret his post, and I'm pretty sure he knows the "bottom of the 9th" effect carries over to extra innings. I usually refer to it as the "b9 effect" rather than "b9 and extra innings" effect for simplicity.
The funniest part about you criticizing someone else about baseball is that 1) PC has never sold advice claiming to be an expert, 2) PC has certainly never claimed to be a baseball expert, while 3) you've sold advice claiming to be an expert for years, are completely clueless on the subject of baseball, yet repeatedly give out terrible advice. Nevermind the "baseball isn't beatable and anyone who bets baseball in June rather than tweak his NFL power ratings is clueless" comments, you've made so many howlers over the years involving baseball that I could probably spend weeks dissecting all of them, i.e. you made numerous claims that the Dodgers have higher than average HFA when anyone looking at a baseball database can see that there's never been any point in their history that they had higher than average HFA.
Fezzik on betting runlines:
"[SIZE=-1]When the line goes into the stratosphere like this [referring to a team that was +245], I often bet the dog +1.5 since the 20 cent vig runline often allows more value than the +245/-275 (30 cent or more) ML[/SIZE]."
op:
