Re: UFC Fight Night
I am leaning toward picking Melvin Guillard to beat Nate Diaz. This is just a bad match up for Nate, because he has sloppy takedowns, and very little strength. Melvin should be able to man handle Nate and keep it standing with his incredible strength.
Melvin has been doing well lately. He recently got a purple belt in BJJ which means his ground game is improving. He went the distance and won a controversial decision against a good grappler in Gleison Tibau. They were grappling a lot and Tibau could not submit Melvin.
Also, Nate Diaz is wanting to stand and strike with Guillard. This is a bad idea, because Melvin has huge KO power and has never been knocked out, whereas Diaz has very little power in his punches and in my opinion, his boxing is not very good. Here is the quote:
“Finally I’m fighting someone that’s not afraid to stand up with me,” Diaz said. “Melvin’s a tough guy and I know that he’ll want to stand and trade with me. I don’t think the fans want to see two guys holding each other.
I think Guillard at +205 is a good bet, and the line might move towards Diaz's favor as the fight gets closer.