Re: Fantasy Football News 2008
Re: Fantasy Football News 2008
Week 2 Rankings Update
These rankings were updated Friday evening
As
FootballOutsiders points out, it's National Jump to Conclusions week. The Bengals offense is dead,
Michael Turner is the messiah, and
Marc Bulger has forever morphed into the late career
Drew Bledsoe.
The question every owner must answer: How much truly changes in a week?
I was in a draft that took place Wednesday night that opened my eyes to how quickly perceptions can change. (Our annual NBC league was delayed as people got back from the Olympics, so we were forced to start late). Within today's ranking notes, I'll mention some of the draft results to highlight what players
legitimately saw their value change in Week 1 (
Selvin Young,
Philip Rivers) and which performances were a mirage. Fantasy owners love action and
transactions, but don't forget that staying the course is often our best move.
For projections of all the rankings below, head to Season Pass. I'll also be chatting there with subscribers on Friday afternoon.
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Week 2 Quarterbacks[/SIZE]
<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Tony Romo</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>Donovan McNabb</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Peyton Manning</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>Ben Roethlisberger</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>Will start</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Jay Cutler</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD></TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>Drew Brees</TD><TD>at WAS</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Kurt Warner</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>Eli Manning</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Aaron Rodgers</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>Carson Palmer</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>
Shaky option?</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Derek Anderson</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>David Garrard</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Brett Favre</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>Philip Rivers</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>
Regaining mobility</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Matt Schaub</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>Brian Griese</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Matt Hasselbeck</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>Jon Kitna</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Jake Delhomme</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>Matt Cassel</TD><TD>at NYJ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Marc Bulger</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>Jason Campbell</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>J.T. O'Sullivan</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>Tarvaris Jackson</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>Probable(knee)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Chad Pennington</TD><TD>at ARZ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>Trent Edwards</TD><TD>at JAC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Kerry Collins</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>Damon Huard</TD><TD>vs. OAK</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Kyle Orton</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>JaMarcus Russell</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Matt Ryan</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>Joe Flacco</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
</TBODY></TABLE>
QB Notes: Let's start with Bulger, who quarterbacked an incomparably terrible Rams offense Sunday. The play that summed up the effort for me on tape, other than the six false starts, was on a first half play in which the Rams max protected Bulger. Three Eagles landed on top of him anyway. With
Torry Holt double teamed, the Rams wideouts just didn't create any separation. In the draft last night, Bulger went
171st! This was after
Trent Edwards and
Matt Ryan. After all the good times Bulger has given fantasy owners, I felt guilty, like I should call him to apologize.
Bulger is not that bad and he should have gone way before the young guys. You can't play him this week against a strong Giants defensive line, but he's still a top-20 quarterback. ? I was confident
Donovan McNabb was a top-seven quarterback all along, but it was nice to see his young receivers perform so well. The second year after ACL surgery is a beautiful thing. ?
Ben Roethlisberger should play this week and he's got a great matchup. With
Sean Jones out for Cleveland, the Browns are going to struggle preventing big plays.
Jay Cutler went with the 47th pick in our draft, a leap that was understandable. With
Tom Brady out for the season, my top two tiers of quarterbacks are down to six and there is a huge drop-off after Cutler. Some of the QB options after the drop (
Vince Young,
Matt Hasselbeck,
David Garrard) have legitimate concerns, making this top six more valuable. ? Garrard fell to the 114th pick, which was too far. All the offensive line injuries will hurt the Jaguars, but they are strong enough to stay solid. I expect all the injuries to effect the running game more.
One player whose season-long value
did change in Week 1 was
Philip Rivers. I didn't expect him to look so strong coming off ACL surgery. It wasn't just his numbers, but his amazing movement and confidence in the pocket. The pass rush didn't bother him. In fact, he avoided many hits and threw on the run. He still must prove he can be consistent (a problem in the past), but I'm far less concerned about his post-surgery accuracy. He was far more comfortable than
Carson Palmer,
Daunte Culpepper, or
Donovan McNabb after their surgery.
Matt Hasselbeck's value is legitimately lower than it was a week ago. Until the team has
Bobby Engram and
Deion Branch back, he'll do well to be a solid QB2. He's a matchup play.
Some players I wouldn't jump to conclusions on:
Carson Palmer: The Ravens will make a lot of quarterbacks look terrible Unfortunately, so will the Titans.
Jake Delhomme: It was very surprising to see the Panthers go so pass-wacky. But Delhomme was still erratic for much of the game.
Derek Anderson: The concern here is that the Browns defense will keep losing games, and
Brady Quinn chants will start. But D.A. will bounce back because of the weapons around him.
Matt Schaub: Like
Carson Palmer, he faces a brutal early start. But he's still a long-term QB1/2. 25-of-33 for 202 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions are the stats you want when a quarterback struggles.
<!--RW-->
[SIZE=+1]
Week 2 Running Backs[/SIZE]
<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>LaDainian Tomlinson</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>Expected to start</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>Adrian Peterson</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Brian Westbrook</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>Frank Gore</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Steven Jackson</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>Marshawn Lynch</TD><TD>at JAC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Marion Barber</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>Probable(ribs)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>Brandon Jacobs</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Joseph Addai</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>Clinton Portis</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Ryan Grant</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>Expected to start</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>Willie Parker</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Larry Johnson</TD><TD>vs. OAK</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>Reggie Bush</TD><TD>at WAS</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Michael Turner</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>Matt Forte</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>Probable(ankle)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Thomas Jones</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>Jamal Lewis</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Earnest Graham</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>Chris Johnson</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Maurice Jones-Drew</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>DeAngelo Williams</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Selvin Young</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>Laurence Maroney</TD><TD>at NYJ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Edgerrin James</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>Darren McFadden</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Willis McGahee</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>Probable(knee)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>LenDale White</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Chris Perry</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>Justin Fargas</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Ronnie Brown</TD><TD>at ARZ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>Jonathan Stewart</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>33</TD><TD>Julius Jones</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>34</TD><TD>Steve Slaton</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>
Ready on day one?</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>35</TD><TD>Ricky Williams</TD><TD>at ARZ</TD><TD>Already a backup?</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>36</TD><TD>Kevin Smith</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>37</TD><TD>Fred Taylor</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>38</TD><TD>Pierre Thomas</TD><TD>at WAS</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>39</TD><TD>Felix Jones</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>40</TD><TD>Jerious Norwood</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>41</TD><TD>Ray Rice</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>42</TD><TD>Andre Hall</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>43</TD><TD>Sammy Morris</TD><TD>at NYJ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>44</TD><TD>Chester Taylor</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>45</TD><TD>Warrick Dunn</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>46</TD><TD>Brandon Jackson</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>Probable(concussion)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>47</TD><TD>Rashard Mendenhall</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>48</TD><TD>Chris Taylor</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>Could split with Slaton</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>49</TD><TD>LeRon McClain</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>May pass Rice?</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>50</TD><TD>Tim Hightower</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>51</TD><TD>Darren Sproles</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>Added to list</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>52</TD><TD>Kenny Watson</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>53</TD><TD>Fred Jackson</TD><TD>at JAC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>54</TD><TD>Kevin Jones</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>55</TD><TD>Jamaal Charles</TD><TD>vs. OAK</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>56</TD><TD>Rudi Johnson</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>57</TD><TD>Leon Washington</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>58</TD><TD>Ahmad Bradshaw</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>59</TD><TD>Ladell Betts</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
</TBODY></TABLE>
RB Notes: Willie Parker was undervalued by fantasy writers and owners alike because we expected
Rashard Mendenhall to develop faster. 7 of Mendenhall's ten carries came in the final 18 minutes against Houston when the game was out of reach. The question remains
how undervalued was Parker? He certainly wasn't worth the tenth overall pick in our draft last night. I'd argue he still wasn't worth a top-30 pick.
Willie Parker will not score 48 touchdowns this year and his lack of receiving skills remains a problem. He could be a good sell high candidate after this week. But Parker's early success around the stripe will get him more chances, making him a legitimate mid-level RB2 who has emerged from the third and fourth round running back morass of a few weeks back.
Michael Turner's huge week looks like a bigger mirage. The Lions will make a lot of running backs look like Hall of Famers, and defenses will quickly catch up to
Matt Ryan. After one week, we still consider Turner a solid RB2. If you can get better value than that for him, go right ahead and deal. (Turner went 17th overall and 15th at running back in our draft. More receivers should have gone before him.)
Sammy Morris is another player who rocketed up our office draft after a strong Week 1, going 64th overall, ahead of backs like
Jonathan Stewart,
Steve Slaton,
Chris Perry,
LenDale White, and
DeAngelo Williams. This was too far a leap. Morris is a nice pickup, but the Patriots backfield will be split three-ways and Morris' touches will remain inconsistent. He's a flex option that will mostly be useful when bye weeks hit. I expected
Laurence Maroney to take a bigger hit in our draft, but he still went early. I've been carping all off-season that the Patriots will try to keep Maroney fresh with relatively little work early in the season. That remains likely, despite
Tom Brady's injury. I've heard the argument that Brady's injury helps Maroney because the team will run more, but I don't buy it. It will be harder to run and the team will score less. ?
Jamal Lewis eased some concerns for Browns fans and fantasy owners against the Cowboys despite average numbers. He ran hard and looked healthy.
Selvin Young's value legitimately changed in Week 1. I'm not ready to give up on him as a RB2 option, but he's not a plug-and-play guy after watching
Michael Pittman and
Andre Hall have such big roles in Week 1. The mid-season return of
Ryan Torain looms too. Just don't assume the Denver rotation will remain consistent. Young will get the chance to start again, and he could very well get 20 carries and enjoys a big day against the Chargers. The leader of an effective Denver rotation has plenty of value. Perhaps just not as much as we thought a week ago.
Don't jump to conclusions on:
Jonathan Stewart: He fell to the 68th pick in our draft, which is a nice value. While he didn't get the goal-line carries in Week 1, he looked great when he was on the field. He's still a great long-term RB3.
Matt Forte: I love the kid and he'll be a great RB2. But he still plays for the Bears and should not have gone with the 18th overall pick in our draft last night.
Joseph Addai: Still a safe bet for 12 scores. Of course. He's only ranked so low this week because of the matchup and concern the Colts will play it safe with him after a head injury.
Chris Perry: He was a matchup-type play going into the season, and he remains so. He just happens to have started with two brutal matchups.
Reggie Bush: Seeing Bush truly step up would make me very happy. But he's had excellent games before. Let's see it for a month.
Their draft value should change after Week 1:
I never put
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=NFL&id=1312"]Ricky Williams[/URL] higher than
Ronnie Brown, but his value is limited if he's already being passed on the depth chart.
The Titans aren't waiting to get
[URL="http://fantasyfootball.usatoday.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=NFL&id=4743"]Chris Johnson[/URL] more touches than
LenDale White. If the split is 60-40 in favor of Johnson already, he's a RB2.
[SIZE=+1]
Week 2 Wide Receivers[/SIZE]
<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Terrell Owens</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>Larry Fitzgerald</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Randy Moss</TD><TD>at NYJ</TD><TD>Will start </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>Andre Johnson</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Reggie Wayne</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>Brandon Marshall</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Braylon Edwards</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>Plaxico Burress</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Santonio Holmes</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>Anquan Boldin</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Jerricho Cotchery</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>T.J. Houshmandzadeh</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Chad Ocho Cinco</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>Marvin Harrison</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Torry Holt</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>Greg Jennings</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Calvin Johnson</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>Roy Williams</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Hines Ward</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>Lee Evans</TD><TD>at JAC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Wes Welker</TD><TD>at NYJ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>Joey Galloway</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>Dwayne Bowe</TD><TD>vs. OAK</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>Donald Driver</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Patrick Crayton</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>Santana Moss</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>Laveranues Coles</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>Questionable(thigh)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>Roddy White</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>Chris Chambers</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>Antonio Bryant</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>Anthony Gonzalez</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>D.J. Hackett</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>33</TD><TD>Eddie Royal</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD></TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>34</TD><TD>DeSean Jackson</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>35</TD><TD>Vincent Jackson</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>36</TD><TD>Ronald Curry</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>37</TD><TD>Amani Toomer</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>38</TD><TD>David Patten</TD><TD>at WAS</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>39</TD><TD>Bernard Berrian</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>40</TD><TD>Sidney Rice</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>41</TD><TD>Jerry Porter</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD>Game-time Decision</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>42</TD><TD>Courtney Taylor</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>43</TD><TD>Bryant Johnson</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>44</TD><TD>Matt Jones</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD></TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>45</TD><TD>Kevin Walter</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>46</TD><TD>Derrick Mason</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>47</TD><TD>Mark Clayton</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>48</TD><TD>Isaac Bruce</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>49</TD><TD>Hank Baskett</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>50</TD><TD>Antwaan Randle El</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>51</TD><TD>Muhsin Muhammad</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>52</TD><TD>Ted Ginn Jr.</TD><TD>at ARZ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>53</TD><TD>Javon Walker</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>54</TD><TD>Arnaz Battle</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>55</TD><TD>Logan Payne</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>First NFL start</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>56</TD><TD>Justin Gage</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
</TBODY></TABLE>
WR Notes: Tom Brady's injury had a huge effect on the top of our draft at receiver.
Terrell Owens was the first receiver drafted, and
Randy Moss went second at No. 23. That sounds about right. Moss would still be in my top-five wideouts, possibly top-three, but the gap between him and the others has been erased. ?
Andre Johnson quietly got off to a good start in Week 1 and could fill the Moss gap at the top of the year-end receiver rankings. ?
Torry Holt went fortieth in our draft, which includes a lot of Eagles fans that watched Holt get only one target in Week 1. On one hand, I know not to overreact to the opener. The Rams will pass, and someone has to get the numbers. On the other hand, I choose Holt as one of the most likely veteran players to fall off a cliff in a segment for NBCSports.com. He must prove he has the speed to create separation, especially if he's going to be double-teamed often. He'll get his numbers eventually and be better in fantasy than reality, but they need to start forcing the ball to him.
DeSean Jackson and
Eddie Royal were two of the toughest players to rank this week. The instinct is to call their games flukes ? but 100-yard games in rookie debuts just don't happen. Only one other player in the last 13 seasons have topped 100 yards:
Anquan Boldin. (He topped 200). The top eleven debuts for wideouts over that span is littered with stars:
Randy Moss,
Larry Fitzgerald,
Marvin Harrison,
Plaxico Burress,
Andre Johnson, and
Deion Branch. The only name that sticks out is Tulane alum JaJuan Dawson, who had a career-defining injury the following week. Jackson and Royal are here to stay as fantasy factors. They play in excellent systems and with Pro Bowl caliber quarterbacks. Royal runs routes like a veteran. Jackson caught some deep passes in traffic. Both are undersized, and thus not ready to be true number one guys. But they can be quality WR3 options who help teams all season. Royal went ninetieth and Jackson at No. 105, by an Eagles fan. But that's a spot after 30 wideouts are off the board, and the placement passed my smell test.
Ted Ginn needs to earn the right to be put in any fantasy roster. Ranking him at all here is kind. ?
Courtney Taylor and
Logan Payne have a great opportunity over the next three weeks, but they must prove they can capitalize before inserting them into lineups. At least Taylor got nine targets. ? Two players getting a shocking amount of targets were
Muhsin Muhammad and
D.J. Hackett. Moose struggled badly despite getting so much attention.
Jake Delhomme forced balls to him. Hackett looked like the best wideout on the team, but that isn't saying much. He's a reasonable WR3 play this week. ?
Anthony Gonzalez is a much better play this week if
Dallas Clark is out.
Don't jump to conclusions on:
Chad Johnson,
T.J. Houshmandzadeh, and
Braylon Edwards: Top tier wideouts in their prime may have off games, but they rarely have off seasons.
Wes Welker:
Matt Cassel won't help, of course, but that doesn't mean he goes back to his Dolphins numbers.
Laveranues Coles: Something tells me the Jets will force the ball to him this week to keep him happy.
Matt Jones: It remains to be seen what his role will be when
Jerry Porter is at full strength.
<!--RW-->
[SIZE=+1]
Week 2 Tight Ends[/SIZE]
<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>Jason Witten</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>Kellen Winslow</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>Antonio Gates</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>Probable(hip)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>Tony Gonzalez</TD><TD>vs. OAK</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>Jeremy Shockey</TD><TD>at WAS</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>Chris Cooley</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>Probable(quadriceps)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>Vernon Davis</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>Owen Daniels</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>Todd Heap</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>Probable(back)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>Tony Scheffler</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>Heath Miller</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>L.J. Smith</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>Dallas Clark</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>Game-time Decision</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>Zach Miller</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>Greg Olsen</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>Randy McMichael</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>Dante Rosario</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>Questionable(foot)</TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>Alge Crumpler</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>Anthony Fasano</TD><TD>at ARZ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>Ben Utecht</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>Marcedes Lewis</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>Donald Lee</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>John Carlson</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>Desmond Clark</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>Bo Scaife</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
<TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>Kevin Boss</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR>
</TBODY></TABLE>
TE Notes: Tight ends fell in our draft, with my team kicking off a run by taking
Jason Witten with the No. 52 pick. Two rounds later,
Anthony Fasano was off the board. Now
that's a one week jump! That insane pick aside, Fasano would be worth drafting if in any league today ? as a TE2.
L.J. Smith also moved up after getting a lot of targets this week. The "problem" at tight end is that it's
too easy to fill your starting spot. Quality options like Fasano and
Alge Crumpler don't sniff the top-15. The difference between the sixth-ranked tight end this week (Cooley) and the No. 21 option (Fasano) is relatively small.
Dante Rosario and Fasano both lined up in the slot quite a bit. That surprised me with Fasano, who isn't exactly fleet of foot, but he knows how to find soft spots in coverage. ? While plenty of tight ends have seen short-term boosts, I don't see any major tight end starter who has seen his value decline.
Todd Heap couldn't stay healthy for a game, but he's already practicing again.
Tony Scheffler came off the bench, but he uncorked a 77-yard play and had a target in the end zone.
Dallas Clark is hurt again, but I never had him in the top ten to begin with. Injuries are part of his package. The position is stronger at the top and deeper than ever before.
[SIZE=+1]
Week 2 Kickers[/SIZE]
<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>
Nick Folk</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>
Mason Crosby</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>
Stephen Gostkowski</TD><TD>at NYJ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>
Josh Scobee</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>
Nate Kaeding</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>
Rob Bironas</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>
Ryan Longwell</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>
Shayne Graham</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>
Josh Brown</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>
Adam Vinatieri</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>
Neil Rackers</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>
Robbie Gould</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>
Jeff Reed</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>
David Akers</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>
Matt Bryant</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>
Phil Dawson</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>Probable(-)</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>
Matt Stover</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>
Martin Gramatica</TD><TD>at WAS</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>
John Kasay</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>
Olindo Mare</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>
Joe Nedney</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>
Kris Brown</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>
Jason Hanson</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>
Jason Elam</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>
Rian Lindell</TD><TD>at JAC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>
Matt Prater</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>
Sebastian Janikowski</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>
Jay Feely</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>
John Carney</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>
Shaun Suisham</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>
Dan Carpenter</TD><TD>at ARZ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>
Nick Novak</TD><TD>vs. OAK</TD><TD>- </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
[SIZE=+1]
Week 2 Team Defense[/SIZE]
<TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=TableTopRed><TD>Rank</TD><TD>Player Name</TD><TD>Opponent</TD><TD>Notes</TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>1</TD><TD>
Bears Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at CAR</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>2</TD><TD>
Giants Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at STL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>3</TD><TD>
Patriots Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at NYJ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>4</TD><TD>
Buccaneers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. ATL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>5</TD><TD>
Colts Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at MIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>6</TD><TD>
Seahawks Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. SF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>7</TD><TD>
Packers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at DET</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>8</TD><TD>
Titans Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at CIN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>9</TD><TD>
Chargers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at DEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>10</TD><TD>
Ravens Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at HOU</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>11</TD><TD>
Vikings Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. IND</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>12</TD><TD>
Texans Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. BAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>13</TD><TD>
Cowboys Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. PHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>14</TD><TD>
Steelers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at CLE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>15</TD><TD>
Bills Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at JAC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>16</TD><TD>
Chiefs Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. OAK</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>17</TD><TD>
Bengals Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. TEN</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>18</TD><TD>
Cardinals Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. MIA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>19</TD><TD>
Eagles Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at DAL</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>20</TD><TD>
Jaguars Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. BUF</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>21</TD><TD>
Panthers Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. CHI</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>22</TD><TD>
Broncos Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. SD</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>23</TD><TD>
Raiders Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at KC</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>24</TD><TD>
Jets Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. NE</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>25</TD><TD>
Saints Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at WAS</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>26</TD><TD>
Fortyniners Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at SEA</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>27</TD><TD>
Redskins Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. NO</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>28</TD><TD>
Dolphins Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at ARZ</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>29</TD><TD>
Browns Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. PIT</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>30</TD><TD>
Falcons Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>at TB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW2><TD>31</TD><TD>
Lions Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. GB</TD><TD>- </TD></TR><TR class=TABLEALTROW1><TD>32</TD><TD>
Rams Def/Spec Team</TD><TD>vs. NYG</TD><TD>-</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>