KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Went 4 and 2 for a $272.5 profit on Sunday ... won my 4 fav plays, lost the two plays I tailed someone on. Stupid. Went through my record on the year and found out of the 19 bets I have made on the year of $250 or more, I have only lost 3 of them. I only place $250+ bets when I really like the play. Shows me the majority of my profit comes from these bets, and the majority of my losses comes from the $50-100 stupid plays that I have a slight edge on at best, and really only play for excitement and action.

Done with that - from now on I should only be placing the bets I actually love so expect far fewer plays from me. May not place bets everyday if I don't see something I really dig. Alright - end rant. Goodluck all.
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

CHC / Zambrano -170 (225 to win 150)

Hate laying juice like this but it fits the system. Will add to this play if line comes down and might take some on run line. San Diego snapped 3 game win streak on Sunday and Zambrano has been lights out all year. This is Baek's 2nd start of the season, and while a decent reliever I don't think this guy has what it takes to go 6-7 innings. He also relieved an inning just two days ago. CHC is on an absolute tear and have to continue playing them until they get snapped.
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

BOS / Wakefield -109 (109 to win 100)

Follow the momentum. BOS has won 3 staright, BAL has lost 4 straight. Play BOS until they lose.

MIN / Hernandez +126 (100 to win 126)

MIN snapped NYY 3 game win streak yesterday... this one can go either way. Livan Hernandez has a nice record on the year and seems to get good run support. This one depends on whether Pettitte pitches good or bad. Have to follow the momentum shift thus the bet. Pitching matchup is a wash with slight edge to Pettitte.
 
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

i havent been following you this year but do you always make bets in the 100-200 dollar range?...im liking your recent picks

thanks man
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

OAK / Harden -155 (232.5 to win 150)

OAK Snapped 4 game losing streak yesterday on the road and heading home with a momentum shift, undefeated (short record) harden on the mound. DET Playing good ball as of late, but OAK has the momentum shift with the better pitcher. Might take small run line bet on this one, might add if line shifts favorably.
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Tar - my bet range has gone lately from $50 to $450. I am going to stop playing the $50 bets because it means I do not like them (except on run line - I never put more than $50 on the run line for the most part)... and I shouldn't be betting $450 on a game .. if I am, I am usually chasing a loss... I hope daily to have 2 bets in the 200-300 range, and 2-3 bets in the 100-200 range. Unless I have a card I am in love with, if I am playing more then that, then I am forcing plays. Tail at risk and best of luck to you
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Fun Parlay -

CHC -1.5 / STL -1.5 / OAK -1.5

$10 to win $86
 
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

i agree with the boston pick....baltimore is a sinking ship right now
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Any losing streak can be snapped in a single game in my opinion... so play boston and fade baltimore until BOS loses and BALT wins.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

so do you think this losing streak will continue?


They've had a rough schedule having to play Bos,NYY and hot TB so this losing streak isn't shocking IMO..

Upcoming schedule is a little easier but not too much. Twins always tough @ home, Toronto is solid and then Boston @ Fenway.. 9 game road trip.

Wouldn't be shocked to see them go 2-7 next nine..

<TABLE class="calBorderBg cal" cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=581 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top height=80><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>2

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs BOS
7:05 PM
MASN HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>3

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ MIN
8:10 PM
MASN 2
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>4

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ MIN
8:10 PM
MASN 2
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>5

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ MIN
1:10 PM
MASN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>6

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ TOR
7:07 PM
MASN 2
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>7

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ TOR
1:07 PM
MASN/WJZ
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>8

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ TOR
1:07 PM
MASN/WJZ
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calInactiveBg><TABLE class=calInactiveBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>9
</TD><TD class=calR width=66>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>10

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ BOS
7:05 PM
MASN HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>11

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ BOS
7:05 PM
MASN HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>12

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ BOS
7:05 PM
MASN HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>13


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs PIT
7:05 PM
MASN/WJZ
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>14

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs PIT
7:05 PM
MASN/WJZ
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>15


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs PIT
1:35 PM
MASN/WJZ
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calInactiveBg><TABLE class=calInactiveBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>16
</TD><TD class=calR width=66>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>17


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs HOU
7:05 PM
MASN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>18


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs HOU
7:05 PM
MASN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>19


</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs HOU
7:05 PM
MASN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>20

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ MIL
8:05 PM
MASN 2
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>21

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ MIL
7:05 PM
MASN/WJZ
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>22

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ MIL
2:05 PM
MASN 2
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calInactiveBg><TABLE class=calInactiveBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>23
</TD><TD class=calR width=66>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>24

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ CHC
8:05 PM
MASN HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>25

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ CHC
8:05 PM
MASN HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>26

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ CHC
2:20 PM
MASN HD
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>27

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ WSH
7:35 PM
MASN 2/WJZ
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>28

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ WSH
7:10 PM
MASN 2
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=calPageBg colSpan=7> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top height=80><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calAwayBg><TABLE class=calAwayBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>29

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>@ WSH
1:35 PM
MASN 2
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calHomeBg><TABLE class=calHomeBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>30

</TD><TD class=calR width=66>vs KC
7:05 PM
MASN
MLB.TV
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calPastBg><TABLE class=calPastBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>
</TD><TD class=calR width=66>
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</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calPastBg><TABLE class=calPastBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>
</TD><TD class=calR width=66>
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</TD><!-- BEGIN DATE --><TD class=calPastBg><TABLE class=calPastBg cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=82 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=calL width=15>
</TD><TD class=calR width=66>
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Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

yeah i think we probably missed the boat on that one...which is ok because theres always another team hitting a rough patch.....the hard part is spotting it early enough to make some quick money
 

Apple

Banned
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

yeah i think we probably missed the boat on that one...which is ok because theres always another team hitting a rough patch.....the hard part is spotting it early enough to make some quick money


I'm seeing the Reds hitting a rough patch soon.. :cheers

Still might be worth fading Balty for those 9 games..
 

Firehorn

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Goodluck kayvebear. Not sure if you ever play the total runs on all teams, I think I will play under tomorrow, both Mets and LA Dod had 2 play 2 night then fly west. Cubs and Colorado as well. Arizona flying to Milwaukee. All that makes me think low runs but the way my season has been, who knows. Just wondering what you or anyone thinks about the under after those long trips west.
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Fire I rarely play the Salami but occasionally I will based on the day of the week. Monday is a PERFECT day imo for Under on Salami as everyone is tired usually so I will throw a unit on it for fun if you wanna join ;)
 

Firehorn

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Fire I rarely play the Salami but occasionally I will based on the day of the week. Monday is a PERFECT day imo for Under on Salami as everyone is tired usually so I will throw a unit on it for fun if you wanna join ;)

Goodluck, it worked for me in the past but this year I been dead wrong on them but I am thinking the same way you are about Mondays.
 

Apple

Banned
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Fire I rarely play the Salami but occasionally I will based on the day of the week. Monday is a PERFECT day imo for Under on Salami as everyone is tired usually so I will throw a unit on it for fun if you wanna join ;)


I'd like to join? What book has this now?
 

Apple

Banned
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Shit, I'm not loaded with the Greek now..

5 Dimes or Bet Jm will have this tomorrow right?
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Mondays seem like a great under with thursday through saturday seeming like great overs ... in reality its a complete crapshoot with a negative 10% edge each time .. good fun though. Once betjam posts salami I will hit it in the morning on the under.
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Yes gynecologist betjam always has the salami the day of action
 

occum7

EOG Enthusiast
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

The only consistent winner using a "Grand Salami" is Jenna Jamison! :))
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

So true Occum! :)

Add:

Under 109 Grand Salami -115 (115 to win 100)
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Add:

CHC / Zambrano -161 (80.5 to win 50)

OAK / Harden -159 (79.5 to win 50)

BOS / Wakefield +107 (50 to win 53.5)

MIN / Hernandez +141 (50 to win 70.5)


 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

To make it easy for myself and easy for those of you following, these are all the plays combined on the day that I have going:

CHC / Zambrano -170 (305.5 to win 200)

BOS / Wakefield -109 (159 to win 153.5)

MIN / Hernandez +126 (150 to win 196.5)

OAK / Harden -155 (312 to win 200)
Under 109 Grand Salami -115 (115 to win 100)

3 team run line parlay STL/OAK/CHC (10 to win 86)
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Okajima blew my boston bet in the bottom of the 8th but minnesota had a come back win in the 8th to make up for it for a small profit. The over in the STL/PIT game is in barring a rain cancellation since the game is tied at 8 and the under on grand salami looks awful puting me slightly up on the day. Need wins from OAK and CHC to make today a winner.
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Went 4 and 2 today for a $480 profit. Almost went 5 and 1 for a $780 profit but red sox Okajima blew the lead in the 8th. No complaints! NICE DAY :)
 

kayvebear

EOG Dedicated
Re: KayveBear Monday 6/2 (187 - 164) +$2485

Thanks Gynec ;p too bad that Salami didn't come in .. maybe we should martingale the under on the salami until it comes in?
 
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