Re: COLLEGE HOOPS: TOLEDO VS. ODU BABY...
TSN predicting a 5th place finish this year in the CAA for ODU Shrink losing your top 3 scores will hurt but best of luck this season!
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College Basketball Preview - Colonial Athletic Association
The Sports Network
By Mike Castiglione, Associate College Basketball Editor
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - OUTLOOK: In the past two years, four CAA teams have combined to assemble a 5-4 mark in the NCAA Tournament, most notably George Mason's trip to the Final Four in 2005-06. Of the non-major conferences, only the Missouri Valley has sent more teams to the Big Dance in that time frame. That of course leaves the question -- who, if anybody, is this year's George Mason out of the CAA? One of the candidates is none other than the Patriots of George Mason, who return their two top players in Will Thomas and Folarin Campbell. Another is Virginia Commonwealth, a well-coached team coming off a 28-win season and a solid showing in the tourney (the Rams beat Duke, then lost to Pittsburgh in overtime). At Drexel, the Dragons will go as far as big man Frank Elegar takes them. Hofstra no longer has that nasty backcourt trio. It is now Antoine Agudio's team, though he has a decent cast around him. Old Dominion lost its top three scorers from last season's 24-win team, but the Monarchs have built a solid program in recent years and should still contend. At UNC-Wilmington, the key is the return of T.J. Carter, though the Seahawks have a solid forward tandem to help alleviate some pressure. Northeastern lost a few key players from last year's middle-of-the-road squad, and while the Huskies are young, they are led by CAA Rookie of the Year Matt Janning, who steps into a bigger role. Questions abound among the remaining teams in the conference. James Madison is coming off a seven-win season and needs some young players to grow up in a hurry. William & Mary has a promising young cast, but must replace last year's leading scorer. Georgia State lost its top scorer, and the Panthers are probably a year away from competing. Towson lost the league's top scorer, meaning the Tigers should take a step back. And at Delaware, the Blue Hens won't start the season with much proven talent, which is certainly not good news coming off a dismal five-win campaign.
PREDICTED CONFERENCE CHAMPION: George Mason
PREDICTED ORDER OF FINISH: 1. George Mason, 2. Virginia Commonwealth, 3. Drexel, 4. Hofstra, 5. Old Dominion, 6. UNC-Wilmington, 7. Northeastern, 8. James Madison, 9. William & Mary, 10. Georgia State, 11. Towson, 12. Delaware
TEAM-BY-TEAM ANALYSIS:
GEORGE MASON: After a slow start, the Patriots really turned things up a notch during their stretch run last season, reaching the CAA Tournament championship game as the sixth seed. With 1,000-point scorers Thomas (13.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg) and Campbell (13.9 ppg, 3.8 apg) back in the fold, George Mason is a popular pick to hoist the league trophy this season. In fact, all five starters return from last year's squad that ripped through the conference tourney all the way to the title tilt. Thomas was a member of the CAA All-Defensive team and a Second Team All-CAA pick. Point guard Jordan Carter and forward Darryl Monroe are back for their senior seasons, while junior guard Dre Smith returns after leading the team with 17.3 ppg in the postseason. And with experienced bench players such as John Vaughan and Louis Birdsong, the Patriots have enough depth to overcome an injury or two. Of course, the glue that holds this unit together is Jim Larranga, the winningest coach in CAA history.
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH: The Rams also got off to a slow start but then rallied for a school-record 28 wins and put together a remarkable postseason, which of course was highlighted by a NCAA Tournament first-round win over Duke. George Mason was ousted in the second round after taking Pittsburgh to overtime, but the Rams figure to come back hungry in 2007-08. Like George Mason, the Rams are also a well-coached bunch, led by reigning CAA Coach of the Year Anthony Grant. The top returning player, and arguably the conference's top returning player, is junior guard Eric Maynor, who averaged 13.9 ppg and set a school record for assists in a season (6.4 apg). A complete player, Maynor is also known for his defensive abilities. He will be complemented by senior forwards Wil Fameni (8.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg) and Michael Anderson (6.4 ppg, 4.9 rpg), as well as shooting guard Jamal Shuler (8.6 ppg) and sophomore T.J. Gwynn (2006-07 CAA All-Rookie selection) on the wing. The biggest hurdle facing the Rams is replacing the 28 ppg lost from the departures of B.A. Walker and Jesse Pellot-Rosa.
DREXEL: The Dragons have a few key losses to deal with, no doubt. But when you've got 6-9, 220-pound senior forward Frank Elegar, you've got a chance to make some noise in the CAA. Coach Bruiser Flint will look to get his big man involved as much as possible, because Elegar is a force to be reckoned with in the frontcourt. Coming off a season in which he averaged 16 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, Elegar was named a preseason All-Conference First-Team selection. Elegar will need to be on his game to help alleviate the losses of Chaz Crawford and Bashir Mason, two players known for their defensive work ethic who helped Drexel along to a 23-8 record last year. Out on the perimeter, junior guard Scott Rodgers (8.0 ppg) will be asked to shoulder more of a scoring load. He was second on the club in minutes and assists last year, but will need to bring more to the scoring column. Fellow junior guard Tramayne Hawthorne was primarily a sixth man last season, though he shot .412 percent from beyond the arc and finished 11th in the league in steals per game.
HOFSTRA: Hofstra finished in the top-75 in final NCAA RPI, though the Pride will have a noticeably different look than last year's 22-win club. Gone from the picture are guards Loren Stokes and Carlos Rivera. Still representing the pride, however, is senior Antoine Agudio, whose 1,664 career points rank third among returning players in all of Division I. A First Team All-CAA selection last year, Agudio should draw plenty of attention after finishing third in the conference in scoring, with 20.2 ppg. He set a school record with 100 three- pointers and could set the league mark, as well as finish as Hofstra's all-time leading scorer. Having won at least 21 games in each of the past three seasons, Hofstra is a team that has come to expect to win, and the Pride figure to do plenty of that in 2007-08.
OLD DOMINION: The Monarchs went on to win their final 10 conference games last season, but expectations are tempered a bit for 2007-08 with the departure of their three top scorers, who combined to average 36 ppg. But a school-record 75 wins in a three-year span, including two NCAA Tournament appearances, has given ODU some recruiting prowess, which should once again pay off this season for coach Blaine Taylor. The catalyst is CAA All-Defensive Team selection Brandon Johnson, who averaged 2.1 steals and 8.3 points per bout last season. He, along with fellow senior guard Brian Henderson (9.4 ppg), will be asked to step up his game this season at the offensive end. Senior Abdi Lidonde (4.6 ppg) also figures to get extensive playing time in the backcourt, while underclassmen Gerald Lee (4.2 ppg, 3.3 rpg) and Jonathan Adams (3.0 ppg, 3.4 rpg) are primed to take over down low. ODU is a team that does not lack confidence, having beaten Georgetown rather handily last November.
UNC-WILMINGTON: Perhaps the most welcomed returnee for the Seahawks is a player who did not step on the floor at all last season. Guard T.J. Carter, who averaged 13.6 ppg in 05-06, is the league's seventh returning scorer. A Third Team All-CAA selection two years ago and the MVP of the 2006 CAA Tournament (17.3 ppg, 7.3 rpg), Carter missed last season with hernia problems. Center Vladimir Kuljanin (13.6 ppg, 7.1 rpg) is back after leading the team in scoring and rebounding a year ago. He was fourth in Division I in field goal percentage (.662), and spent the summer representing Canada in the Pan American Games. Those two figure to give the Seahawks a formidable one-two punch. Todd Hendley, a 6-9 senior forward who averaged 11.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per tilt in '06-'07, also figures into the mix and should aid UNCW in returning to respectability. The Seahawks, who have collected four CAA titles in an eight- year span, are hungry after coming off last year's seven-win season.
NORTHEASTERN: The Huskies must replace the backcourt tandem of Adrian Martinez and Bobby Kelly, as well as Bennet Davis. But the key returnee is sophomore guard Matt Janning, who was named the 2006-07 CAA Rookie of the Year after scoring 11.6 ppg, tops among league freshmen. Janning can dish it out, and he can spot up and shoot the three. The Huskies must get off to a better start than last year's dreadful 3-12 mark, and the addition of transfers Chris Alvarez and Nkem Ojougboh should help right away. Alvarez is a former starter at Dayton, while Ojougboh averaged nearly seven ppg at Texas-San Antonio, and both are ready to go after sitting out last season. Under first-year coach Bill Coen, Northeastern won six of its final eight games last year, and the Huskies are looking to carry that momentum into this season.
JAMES MADISON: Although JMU sputtered to a 7-23 season in 2006-07, the Dukes figure to be solid with the return of four double-digit scorers, led by forward Juwann James (13 ppg). Pierre Curtis is back to run the point after averaging 11.4 ppg a year ago, while Terrance Carter (12.8 ppg) and Joe Posey (10.1 ppg) also lend solid experience. But the biggest new arrival is the addition of junior guard Abdulai Jalloh, a Second Team All-Atlantic 10 Conference selection from Saint Joseph's in '05-'06 who is ready to step in after sitting out last season. Jalloh (15 ppg), along with Texas Tech transfer Dazzmond Thornton, could help JMU to its first winning season since 1999-00.
WILLIAM & MARY: The Tribe took a step forward last year with 15 wins and eight conference victories, which marked their highest such totals since the 1997-98 season. And with four starters returning from that team, William & Mary figures to be right in the thick of the CAA standings this year. While leading scorer Adam Payton has moved on, the Tribe returns Nathan Mann (9.1 ppg), who has 142 career three-pointers under his belt. Mann will be asked to take on more of an all-around role in the offense, as will the team's leading returning scorer, forward Laimis Kisielius (11.3 ppg). Those two should form a solid inside-out combo. Other key contributors include guard David Schneider, who made the CAA All-Rookie Team last year, and junior forward Alex Smith, who played for Panama in the Pan American Games this summer.
GEORGIA STATE: The Panthers are set to begin their first season under new coach Rod Barnes, who was the Naismith Coach of the Year in 2001 while at Ole Miss. However, with top scorer Lance Perique having moved on, and several key transfers not eligible to join the team until next season, the Panthers figure to struggle this year. Shooting guard Leonard Mendez (13.8 ppg) is among the top returning scorers in the CAA, and he will be asked to carry the load while Georgia State adjusts to its new personnel. Mendez led the league in three- point percentage (.475), and scored in double figures in 19 of the team's final 21 games. The only other key contributor returning is junior forward Rashad Chase (8.5 ppg, 5.9 rpg), a Georgia high school sensation who has been solid, but not spectacular in his first two seasons at Georgia State.
TOWSON: The Tigers must replace the league's leading scorer from a year ago in Gary Neal, who helped the program along to its highest win total in 11 years. The top returning player is guard C.C. Williams. Williams runs the offense well, having averaged 4.1 assists last year, including a school-record 14 helpers against Georgia State last February. Down low, senior forward Tommy Breaux returns after averaging 2.1 blocked shots per game, which ranks tops among all returning players in the conference. A wideout on the Towson football team, Breaux will be asked to improve upon last season's numbers (5.9 points and 4.5 rebounds per game). Rodney Spruill, a 6-4 sophomore forward, also needs to step up his game as he enters his second season at Towson.
DELAWARE: Delaware boasts the league's second returning scorer in Herb Courtney (18.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg). A Second Team All-CAA selection, the senior forward led the conference with 10 double-doubles. Coming off last year's 5-26 campaign, however, the Blue Hens are going to need to bring a lot more than just Courtney to the hardwood. They will get some help from transfers Marc Egerson and Jim Ledsome, though neither will be available until the middle of December. Egerson is a junior guard who comes over from Georgetown after averaging 7.5 points and 4.0 rebounds per game with the Hoyas. Ledsome, a junior forward, played at Nebraska a year ago. Until those two are eligible to play, it will be on the shoulders of Courtney and sophomore point guard and CAA All-Rookie selection Brian Johnson (9.6 ppg, 4.2 apg), to carry much of the load.