Culver college football Thursday (8/30/07)

[Culver]

Sides

Miami-Ohio +4 1/2
Buffalo +32

Totals

Buffalo-Rutgers UNDER 50 1/2

Money Lines

UL-Monroe +150

 

[munson15]

Re: Culver college football Thursday (8/30/07)

Russ, can you please tell me what you think of correlated parlays in CFB? I noticed that only one of my 8 offshore accounts would take a bet involving a large pointspread and a total in the same game. This would seem to indicate that there is an advantage to the player in this spot. I'd appreciate your insight, as I had never heard of them until reading a thread here recently.

 

[Culver]

Re: Culver college football Thursday (8/30/07)

The larger the pointspread is as a percentage of the total, the more correlation there is in dog and under or favorite and over parlays.

The logic is simple--the more a game goes under the total, the more likely the dog will cover and the more a favorite wins by the more likely the game will go over.

 

[munson15]

Re: Culver college football Thursday (8/30/07)

The larger the pointspread is as a percentage of the total, the more correlation there is in dog and under or favorite and over parlays.

The logic is simple--the more a game goes under the total, the more likely the dog will cover and the more a favorite wins by the more likely the game will go over.

Thanks for the explanation. Knowing that, do you play them?

 

[Culver]

Re: Culver college football Thursday (8/30/07)

No. The limits and the juice make them not worth the trouble.

 

[munson15]

Re: Culver college football Thursday (8/30/07)

So someone quoting a 65% conversion rate on these plays would be inaccurate?