MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
- Thread starter MadCapper
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MadCapper
Head <in> Moderation
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
Round #1
O. Rochus -155 (5 units) [I don't care how well Guccione is playing at home. This is a 5 set match tournament. Rochus is the better player. When it comes to crunch time I will take Rochus anyday in this matchup. Rochus should be a -200 favorite. I think Guccione is getting too much respect in this one!]
Nieminen -300 (4 units) [Complete mismatch against the always frustrating and always underachieving American.]
Srichaphan -210 (4 units) [I am surprised Paradorn is only a -210 fav. He is a grinder and a very hard worker. He should wear Sela out.]
J. Johansson -300 (3 units) [Strong service will overpower Lopez. He is a sleeper in this tournament.]
Wawrinka -275 (3 units) [Always like Wawrinka. He gets a favorable matchup against Kim.]
Karlovic +100 (3 units) [Karlovic can either dominate or not show up. There won't be a middle ground. I think he will dominate.]
Ginepri -190 (2 units)
Greul -130 (2 units)
Monaco -130 (2 units)
Vliegen -125 (2 units)
Dlouhy -105 (2 units)
Kunitsyn +125 (2 units)
Chiudinelli +175 (2 units)
Clement +185 (2 units)
Arguello +220 (2 units)
Delic +150 (1 unit)
Patience +190 (1 unit)
Jones +220 (1 unit)
Hanescu +225 (1 unit)
Massu +320 (1 unit)
Becker +475 (1/2 unit)
Round #1
O. Rochus -155 (5 units) [I don't care how well Guccione is playing at home. This is a 5 set match tournament. Rochus is the better player. When it comes to crunch time I will take Rochus anyday in this matchup. Rochus should be a -200 favorite. I think Guccione is getting too much respect in this one!]
Nieminen -300 (4 units) [Complete mismatch against the always frustrating and always underachieving American.]
Srichaphan -210 (4 units) [I am surprised Paradorn is only a -210 fav. He is a grinder and a very hard worker. He should wear Sela out.]
J. Johansson -300 (3 units) [Strong service will overpower Lopez. He is a sleeper in this tournament.]
Wawrinka -275 (3 units) [Always like Wawrinka. He gets a favorable matchup against Kim.]
Karlovic +100 (3 units) [Karlovic can either dominate or not show up. There won't be a middle ground. I think he will dominate.]
Ginepri -190 (2 units)
Greul -130 (2 units)
Monaco -130 (2 units)
Vliegen -125 (2 units)
Dlouhy -105 (2 units)
Kunitsyn +125 (2 units)
Chiudinelli +175 (2 units)
Clement +185 (2 units)
Arguello +220 (2 units)
Delic +150 (1 unit)
Patience +190 (1 unit)
Jones +220 (1 unit)
Hanescu +225 (1 unit)
Massu +320 (1 unit)
Becker +475 (1/2 unit)
MadCapper
Head <in> Moderation
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
The Karlovic line is moving against me. Its a 3 unit play for me at +100. It has already moved to +109. Not a great sign. Right now I consider this a small line movement. But if it becomes a big line movement, I would suggest that you don't play him. Big line moves in tennis usually indicate something is going on with the player and/or match.
The Karlovic line is moving against me. Its a 3 unit play for me at +100. It has already moved to +109. Not a great sign. Right now I consider this a small line movement. But if it becomes a big line movement, I would suggest that you don't play him. Big line moves in tennis usually indicate something is going on with the player and/or match.
MadCapper
Head <in> Moderation
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
Jo,
Parlaying favorites, nig favorites, in Tennis is usally safe in early rounds. But the payoff is never too good unless you make alike a 7-10 big favorite parlay.
I mean the obvious 10 man big favorite parlay is:
Federer to Roddick to Blake to Hewitt to Murray to Davydenko to Gasquet to Haas to Nadal to Ancic
Jo,
Parlaying favorites, nig favorites, in Tennis is usally safe in early rounds. But the payoff is never too good unless you make alike a 7-10 big favorite parlay.
I mean the obvious 10 man big favorite parlay is:
Federer to Roddick to Blake to Hewitt to Murray to Davydenko to Gasquet to Haas to Nadal to Ancic
Jojo-Rex
2
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
Also..Sometimes I parlay tennis plays (Favs) with other sports to beef up the payout..Got a 7 teamer alive still with 5 guys from the Heineken tourney+Colts and Pats ML..Would pay handsomely..I can already ML SD tomorrow and guarantee a payout..but I wont..Gonna go for the throat
MadCapper
Head <in> Moderation
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
SUNDAY Plays using lines from 5dimes.com
Jones +205 (1 unit)
Arguello +225 (2 units)
J. Johansson -325 (3 units)
Greul -132 (2 units)
Karlovic -107 (3 units)
Monaco -145 (2 units)
Pateince +179 (1 unit)
Srichaphan -210 (4 units)
Massu +315 (1 unit)
Dlouhy -101 (2 units)
Chiudinelli +160 (2 units)
SUNDAY Plays using lines from 5dimes.com
Jones +205 (1 unit)
Arguello +225 (2 units)
J. Johansson -325 (3 units)
Greul -132 (2 units)
Karlovic -107 (3 units)
Monaco -145 (2 units)
Pateince +179 (1 unit)
Srichaphan -210 (4 units)
Massu +315 (1 unit)
Dlouhy -101 (2 units)
Chiudinelli +160 (2 units)
MadCapper
Head <in> Moderation
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
One really big line movement against us overnight....
Srichaphan went from -210 to -155
He was a 4 unit plat at -210. I am not that scared with the line movement. But if it moves anymore I would get off it and concede the juice loss.
One really big line movement against us overnight....
Srichaphan went from -210 to -155
He was a 4 unit plat at -210. I am not that scared with the line movement. But if it moves anymore I would get off it and concede the juice loss.
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
Is Schrichapan match off? Cant find the bet on 5Dimes...wanted to unload on Sela, as Paradorn is injured and is playing like crap. Last week some unkown Czech player (1-22 record on the 2006 atp - or very similar) ws killing his ass, before he eventually retired. And with 5dimes...bets stand from the first serve on...any info?
Is Schrichapan match off? Cant find the bet on 5Dimes...wanted to unload on Sela, as Paradorn is injured and is playing like crap. Last week some unkown Czech player (1-22 record on the 2006 atp - or very similar) ws killing his ass, before he eventually retired. And with 5dimes...bets stand from the first serve on...any info?
MadCapper
Head <in> Moderation
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
Full Card For Sunday (Lines from 5dimes)
J. Johansson -325 (3 units)
Monaco -145 (2 units)
Greul -132 (2 units)
Karlovic -107 (3 units)
Dlouhy -101 (2 units)
Chiudinelli +160 (2 units)
Arguello +225 (2 units)
Jones +205 (1 unit)
Pateince +179 (1 unit)
Massu +315 (1 unit)
Vanek +7.5 -130 (3 units)
Patience +5.5 -125 (3 units)
Pless +7.5 -112 (3 units)
Braccaili +5.5 -130 (2 units)
Arguello +6.5 -105 (2 units)
Schuettler +7.5 +130 (2 units)
Full Card For Sunday (Lines from 5dimes)
J. Johansson -325 (3 units)
Monaco -145 (2 units)
Greul -132 (2 units)
Karlovic -107 (3 units)
Dlouhy -101 (2 units)
Chiudinelli +160 (2 units)
Arguello +225 (2 units)
Jones +205 (1 unit)
Pateince +179 (1 unit)
Massu +315 (1 unit)
Vanek +7.5 -130 (3 units)
Patience +5.5 -125 (3 units)
Pless +7.5 -112 (3 units)
Braccaili +5.5 -130 (2 units)
Arguello +6.5 -105 (2 units)
Schuettler +7.5 +130 (2 units)
Doc Mercer
EOG Master
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
Blake gets past Moya in opener and he has a real shot at finals ...
Blake gets past Moya in opener and he has a real shot at finals ...
Jojo-Rex
2
Re: MadCapper's Aussie Open PICKS Thread!
This is overwhelming (because of NFL) and only played a few..
I got lucky on Arthurs over Koubek..Koubek took first two sets and ran out of gas..
Parador must be hurt..Good thing you hedged..
I am with you on Dlouhly..
Arguello crapped out on ya after showing some promise last year.....
NICE call on Delic:cheers
I lost my ass -330 on Calleri right off the bat
This is overwhelming (because of NFL) and only played a few..
I got lucky on Arthurs over Koubek..Koubek took first two sets and ran out of gas..
Parador must be hurt..Good thing you hedged..
I am with you on Dlouhly..
Arguello crapped out on ya after showing some promise last year.....
NICE call on Delic:cheers
I lost my ass -330 on Calleri right off the bat
