VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

Mr. NBA

Mr. NBA

EOG Dedicated
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

i wont bet that sinking ship.....they are horrible........clemson rolls shrink.....havent you been reading the local press?....:+clueless





gl shrink........and by the way im mired in like a 4 out of 30 slide so odds are you are on the right side:thumbsup .



mn
 
Mr. Smith

Mr. Smith

EOG Master
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

Clemson has taken a lot of injuries this year. If they hadnt, I think Id pass. But I like Va Tech here too
 
zerocage

zerocage

2
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

Is this based on how the teams play or going against where the public money is?
 
PSUONE

PSUONE

EOG Veteran
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

THE SHRINK said:
A guy I know who moves lines and is well respected has bet Va Tech...
Click to expand...

Do you know this guy?


Dr. Bob

Thursday Night Analysis
VIRGINIA TECH 21 Clemson (-4.5) 20
04:30 PM Pacific, 26-Oct-06
I was expecting that math to favor Clemson to cover in this game, but I was surprised to find that Virginia Tech actually has that advantage. Clemson is clearly a better team from the line of scrimmage, but special teams are a HUGE advantage for Virginia Tech in this game. The Tiers have been 1.5 yards per play better than average on offense with quarterback Will Proctor in the game (7.1 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) and they’ve been 1.2 yppl better than average on defense (3.8 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.0 yppl on offense against an average team). Virginia Tech, meanwhile, is just a bit better than average offensively (5.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl), but they are 1.0 yppl better than average on defense (4.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yppl). While Clemson will be able to move the ball at a considerably better rate (my math model predicts 5.7 yppl to 4.4 yppl) the Hokies will have a major advantage in field position. The math also predicts Virginia Tech to start at the 35 yard line, on average, on kickoffs while the Tigers start on the 22 yard line. Punting is also an advantage for Virginia Tech given their ability to block punts and the Hokies’ kicker rating (+0.8 points) is much better than Clemson’s kicker rating of -0.5 points. Overall, my math model actually favors Virginia Tech by 2 ½ points, but I actually think the special teams advantage is unrealistically high in this game and a more realistic fair line is Clemson by 2 ½ points. There are situations favoring both teams, a 91-28-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator that favors Clemson and a 77-23-4 ATS home momentum situation that favors Virginia Tech, and the angle favoring the Tigers is a bit stronger. However, Virginia Tech is 36-13-1 ATS in home games when they are not favored by 14 points or more and the Hokies are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 as a home dog of 2 points or more. I’ll favor Virginia Tech to at least keep this close despite being out played from the line of scrimmage.
 
zerocage

zerocage

2
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr class="wht-title" bgcolor="#16177c"><td colspan="3">Game</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Spread</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Money Line</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Total Points</td> <td>More </td> </tr> <tr class="wht-title" bgcolor="#999999"> <td colspan="3"> Maximum Wager: </td> <td class="wht-title" nowrap="nowrap"> 28571.43 USD</td> <td class="wht-title" nowrap="nowrap"> 14285.71 USD</td> <td class="wht-title" nowrap="nowrap"> 7142.86 USD</td> <td>
</td></tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Thu 10/26</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 301</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Clemson</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="S1_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> <select class="main_body_blk" name="selS1_84109374_0" onchange="javascript:handleOrderSelection(this, 0, 1,'Football' ,'NCAA' , 0);"> <option value="-5.5 +116_0">-5.5 +116 </option><option value="-5 +111_1">-5 +111 </option><option value="-4.5 +105_2">-4.5 +105 </option><option value="-4 +101_3" selected="selected">-4 +101 </option><option value="-3.5 -107_4">-3.5 -107 </option><option value="-3 -124_5">-3 -124 </option><option value="-2.5 -141_6">-2.5 -141 </option></select> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="M1_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> -170<input name="selM1_84109374_0" value="-170" type="hidden"> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="T1_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> OVER 43 -108 <input name="selT1_84109374_0" value=" 43 -108" type="hidden"> </td><td rowspan="2" valign="middle">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 04:45 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 302</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Virginia Tech</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="S2_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> <select class="main_body_blk" name="selS2_84109374_0" onchange="javascript:handleOrderSelection(this, 0, 2,'Football' ,'NCAA' , 0);"> <option value="+5.5 -131_0">+5.5 -131 </option><option value="+5 -125_1">+5 -125 </option><option value="+4.5 -118_2">+4.5 -118 </option><option value="+4 -111_3" selected="selected">+4 -111 </option><option value="+3.5 -106_4">+3.5 -106 </option><option value="+3 +109_5">+3 +109 </option><option value="+2.5 +124_6">+2.5 +124 </option></select> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="M2_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> +155<input name="selM2_84109374_0" value="155" type="hidden"> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="T2_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> UNDER 43 -102 <input name="selT2_84109374_0" value=" 43 -102" type="hidden"> </td></tr> <tr> <td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
CHALKbreaker

CHALKbreaker

EOG Dedicated
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

That was only an OPINION of Dr Bob.

He only has 3 high rated plays this week.
That whole article that is on the cover of EOG of "steaming" is ALL due to Dr Bob. His releases move lines 3-4 points every week upon the release. While they righfully should as the guy is SMASHING college football!
 
zerocage

zerocage

2
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr class="wht-title" bgcolor="#16177c"><td colspan="3">Game</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Spread</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Money Line</td> <td nowrap="nowrap">Total Points</td> <td>More </td> </tr> <tr class="wht-title" bgcolor="#999999"> <td colspan="3"> Maximum Wager: </td> <td class="wht-title" nowrap="nowrap"> 28571.43 USD</td> <td class="wht-title" nowrap="nowrap"> 14285.71 USD</td> <td class="wht-title" nowrap="nowrap"> 7142.86 USD</td> <td>
</td></tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Thu 10/26</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 301</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Clemson</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="S1_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> <select class="main_body_blk" name="selS1_84109374_0" onchange="javascript:handleOrderSelection(this, 0, 1,'Football' ,'NCAA' , 0);"> <option value="-5 +110_0">-5 +110 </option><option value="-4.5 +105_1">-4.5 +105 </option><option value="-4 +100_2">-4 +100 </option><option value="-3.5 -105_3" selected="selected">-3.5 -105 </option><option value="-3 -124_4">-3 -124 </option><option value="-2.5 -141_5">-2.5 -141 </option><option value="-2 -148_6">-2 -148 </option></select> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="M1_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> -165<input name="selM1_84109374_0" value="-165" type="hidden"> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="T1_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> OVER 43 -112 <input name="selT1_84109374_0" value=" 43 -112" type="hidden"> </td><td rowspan="2" valign="middle">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 04:45 PM</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> 302</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> Virginia Tech</td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="S2_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> <select class="main_body_blk" name="selS2_84109374_0" onchange="javascript:handleOrderSelection(this, 0, 2,'Football' ,'NCAA' , 0);"> <option value="+5 -125_0">+5 -125 </option><option value="+4.5 -119_1">+4.5 -119 </option><option value="+4 -113_2">+4 -113 </option><option value="+3.5 -105_3" selected="selected">+3.5 -105 </option><option value="+3 +109_4">+3 +109 </option><option value="+2.5 +125_5">+2.5 +125 </option><option value="+2 +131_6">+2 +131 </option></select> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="M2_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> +150<input name="selM2_84109374_0" value="150" type="hidden"> </td> <td class="main_body_blk" nowrap="nowrap"> <input class="main_body_blk" name="T2_84109374_0" size="6" maxlength="7" type="text"> UNDER 43 +102 <input name="selT2_84109374_0" value=" 43 +102" type="hidden"> </td></tr></tbody></table>
 
wrigley

wrigley

2
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

CHALKbreaker said:
That was only an OPINION of Dr Bob.

He only has 3 high rated plays this week.
That whole article that is on the cover of EOG of "steaming" is ALL due to Dr Bob. His releases move lines 3-4 points every week upon the release. While they righfully should as the guy is SMASHING college football!
Click to expand...

Dr. Bob is killing in college foots this year


Dr. Bob

Thursday Night Analysis
VIRGINIA TECH 21 Clemson (-4.5) 20
04:30 PM Pacific, 26-Oct-06
I was expecting that math to favor Clemson to cover in this game, but I was surprised to find that Virginia Tech actually has that advantage. Clemson is clearly a better team from the line of scrimmage, but special teams are a HUGE advantage for Virginia Tech in this game. The Tiers have been 1.5 yards per play better than average on offense with quarterback Will Proctor in the game (7.1 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) and they?€™ve been 1.2 yppl better than average on defense (3.8 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.0 yppl on offense against an average team). Virginia Tech, meanwhile, is just a bit better than average offensively (5.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl), but they are 1.0 yppl better than average on defense (4.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yppl). While Clemson will be able to move the ball at a considerably better rate (my math model predicts 5.7 yppl to 4.4 yppl) the Hokies will have a major advantage in field position. The math also predicts Virginia Tech to start at the 35 yard line, on average, on kickoffs while the Tigers start on the 22 yard line. Punting is also an advantage for Virginia Tech given their ability to block punts and the Hokies?€™ kicker rating (+0.8 points) is much better than Clemson?€™s kicker rating of -0.5 points. Overall, my math model actually favors Virginia Tech by 2 ½ points, but I actually think the special teams advantage is unrealistically high in this game and a more realistic fair line is Clemson by 2 ½ points. There are situations favoring both teams, a 91-28-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator that favors Clemson and a 77-23-4 ATS home momentum situation that favors Virginia Tech, and the angle favoring the Tigers is a bit stronger. However, Virginia Tech is 36-13-1 ATS in home games when they are not favored by 14 points or more and the Hokies are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 as a home dog of 2 points or more. I?€™ll favor Virginia Tech to at least keep this close despite being out played from the line of scrimmage.
 
CHALKbreaker

CHALKbreaker

EOG Dedicated
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

Wrigly:

No; it is NOT Dr Bob...
It is the syndicate that SHRINK told us would be moving it...Dr Bob releases his plays at 10 AM (pacific time) on Thursday, and the lines will "STEAM" soon after his releases.

The VA TECH was only an opinion of his anyway, and not one of his high rated plays. His high rated college plays have not only been crushing this year, but last year as well..
 
CHALKbreaker

CHALKbreaker

EOG Dedicated
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

long ass way to go, but it sure was a nice way to rebound from the early 7-0 deficit...

GO HOOOOOOKIES!!
 
Bucsfan67

Bucsfan67

EOG Master
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

Clemson with a big fumble recovery before the half....


could be big momentum swing for the paws if we can get a td here...
 
CHALKbreaker

CHALKbreaker

EOG Dedicated
Re: VA TECH PLUS 5 VS. CLEMSON

Mr. Smith said:
if anyone wants another good ACC home dog play hop on Maryland this weekend
Click to expand...

Sounds good Mr Smith:thumbsup
This one was my "BIG BABY" though. Man; how often do you get the HOOKIES AT LANE STADIUM as a DOG?
MAN I was just licking my chops!!

AWESOME environment there at Blacksburn. That is what college ball is all about!
 
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